The Two-Parameter Holland Pressure Model for Tropical Cyclones

In this study, we propose a two-parameter symmetric tropical cyclone (TC) pressure model, derived from the fundamental equations of the TC wind field. This model rectifies the deficits of the traditional TC pressure model mathematically. It incorporates a new parameter into the Holland pressure mode...

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Main Authors: Peng Chen, Zhuo Zhang, Yuting Li, Ronghui Ye, Ruijie Li, Zhiyao Song
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/1/92
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author Peng Chen
Zhuo Zhang
Yuting Li
Ronghui Ye
Ruijie Li
Zhiyao Song
author_facet Peng Chen
Zhuo Zhang
Yuting Li
Ronghui Ye
Ruijie Li
Zhiyao Song
author_sort Peng Chen
collection DOAJ
description In this study, we propose a two-parameter symmetric tropical cyclone (TC) pressure model, derived from the fundamental equations of the TC wind field. This model rectifies the deficits of the traditional TC pressure model mathematically. It incorporates a new parameter into the Holland pressure model and establishes relationship equations between the new parameter, Holland parameter B, and TC attributes such as pressure difference, maximum wind speed radius, geographical latitude, and inflow angle. This derivation is achieved theoretically. Our model not only tackles the limitations of the traditional pressure model by meeting the gradient wind equations, but it also resolves the uncertainty issue of parameter B arising from varied factor selection, data time frames, and research maritime areas. As practical applications, we apply both this model and the corresponding wind field model to five TC profiles. Further, we juxtapose them with primary pressure and wind field models and conduct error and statistical significance analyses. Our findings reveal that the two-parameter model produces results on par with the Holland model and superior to Fujita and Takahashi models. Notably, reanalysis of the wind field consistently underestimates the wind field near the maximum wind speed. Hence, a hybrid wind field, synthesized from the modeled and reanalyzed wind fields, appears to be one of the most effective methodologies for reconstructing a tropical cyclone’s wind field.
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spelling doaj.art-75131ed634644f2680de800084c315c92024-01-26T17:15:42ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122024-01-011219210.3390/jmse12010092The Two-Parameter Holland Pressure Model for Tropical CyclonesPeng Chen0Zhuo Zhang1Yuting Li2Ronghui Ye3Ruijie Li4Zhiyao Song5Key Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, ChinaKey Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, ChinaKey Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, ChinaPearl River Water Resources Research Institute, Pearl River Water Resources Commission, Guangzhou 510611, ChinaKey Laboratory of Coastal Disaster and Defence, Ministry of Education, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaKey Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, ChinaIn this study, we propose a two-parameter symmetric tropical cyclone (TC) pressure model, derived from the fundamental equations of the TC wind field. This model rectifies the deficits of the traditional TC pressure model mathematically. It incorporates a new parameter into the Holland pressure model and establishes relationship equations between the new parameter, Holland parameter B, and TC attributes such as pressure difference, maximum wind speed radius, geographical latitude, and inflow angle. This derivation is achieved theoretically. Our model not only tackles the limitations of the traditional pressure model by meeting the gradient wind equations, but it also resolves the uncertainty issue of parameter B arising from varied factor selection, data time frames, and research maritime areas. As practical applications, we apply both this model and the corresponding wind field model to five TC profiles. Further, we juxtapose them with primary pressure and wind field models and conduct error and statistical significance analyses. Our findings reveal that the two-parameter model produces results on par with the Holland model and superior to Fujita and Takahashi models. Notably, reanalysis of the wind field consistently underestimates the wind field near the maximum wind speed. Hence, a hybrid wind field, synthesized from the modeled and reanalyzed wind fields, appears to be one of the most effective methodologies for reconstructing a tropical cyclone’s wind field.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/1/92tropical cycloneHolland pressure modelwind modelerror analysis
spellingShingle Peng Chen
Zhuo Zhang
Yuting Li
Ronghui Ye
Ruijie Li
Zhiyao Song
The Two-Parameter Holland Pressure Model for Tropical Cyclones
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
tropical cyclone
Holland pressure model
wind model
error analysis
title The Two-Parameter Holland Pressure Model for Tropical Cyclones
title_full The Two-Parameter Holland Pressure Model for Tropical Cyclones
title_fullStr The Two-Parameter Holland Pressure Model for Tropical Cyclones
title_full_unstemmed The Two-Parameter Holland Pressure Model for Tropical Cyclones
title_short The Two-Parameter Holland Pressure Model for Tropical Cyclones
title_sort two parameter holland pressure model for tropical cyclones
topic tropical cyclone
Holland pressure model
wind model
error analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/1/92
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