Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation

This paper examines the role of non-cash flow factors over correlation jumps in financial markets. Utilizing time-varying risk aversion measure as a proxy for investor sentiment and the cross-quantilogram method applied to intraday data, we show that risk aversion captures significant predictive pow...

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Main Authors: Riza Demirer, Konstantinos Gkillas, Christos Kountzakis, Amaryllis Mavragani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-12-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/12/2255
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author Riza Demirer
Konstantinos Gkillas
Christos Kountzakis
Amaryllis Mavragani
author_facet Riza Demirer
Konstantinos Gkillas
Christos Kountzakis
Amaryllis Mavragani
author_sort Riza Demirer
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the role of non-cash flow factors over correlation jumps in financial markets. Utilizing time-varying risk aversion measure as a proxy for investor sentiment and the cross-quantilogram method applied to intraday data, we show that risk aversion captures significant predictive power over realized stock-bond correlation jumps at different quantiles and lags. The predictive relation between correlation jumps and time-varying risk aversion is found to be asymmetric, as we detect a heterogeneous dependence pattern across different quantiles and lag orders. Our findings underline the importance of non-cash flow factors over correlation jumps, highlighting the role of behavioral factors in optimal portfolio allocations and the effectiveness of diversification strategies.
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spelling doaj.art-7523c42464774f2eb1cfa6163841f7452023-11-21T01:50:57ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902020-12-01812225510.3390/math8122255Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized CorrelationRiza Demirer0Konstantinos Gkillas1Christos Kountzakis2Amaryllis Mavragani3Department of Economics and Finance, School of Business, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville, Edwardsville, IL 62026-1102, USADepartment of Management Science and Technology, University of Patras, 265 04 Patras, GreeceDepartment of Statistics and Actuarial-Financial Mathematics, School of Sciences, University of the Aegean, 832 00 Samos, GreeceDepartment of Computing Science and Mathematics, University of Stirling, Stirling FK9 4LA, UKThis paper examines the role of non-cash flow factors over correlation jumps in financial markets. Utilizing time-varying risk aversion measure as a proxy for investor sentiment and the cross-quantilogram method applied to intraday data, we show that risk aversion captures significant predictive power over realized stock-bond correlation jumps at different quantiles and lags. The predictive relation between correlation jumps and time-varying risk aversion is found to be asymmetric, as we detect a heterogeneous dependence pattern across different quantiles and lag orders. Our findings underline the importance of non-cash flow factors over correlation jumps, highlighting the role of behavioral factors in optimal portfolio allocations and the effectiveness of diversification strategies.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/12/2255realized correlation jumpsstock-bond correlationtime-varying risk aversion
spellingShingle Riza Demirer
Konstantinos Gkillas
Christos Kountzakis
Amaryllis Mavragani
Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation
Mathematics
realized correlation jumps
stock-bond correlation
time-varying risk aversion
title Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation
title_full Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation
title_fullStr Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation
title_full_unstemmed Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation
title_short Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation
title_sort risk appetite and jumps in realized correlation
topic realized correlation jumps
stock-bond correlation
time-varying risk aversion
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/12/2255
work_keys_str_mv AT rizademirer riskappetiteandjumpsinrealizedcorrelation
AT konstantinosgkillas riskappetiteandjumpsinrealizedcorrelation
AT christoskountzakis riskappetiteandjumpsinrealizedcorrelation
AT amaryllismavragani riskappetiteandjumpsinrealizedcorrelation