Testing the Response of the Annual Well-Being Index to Monthly Inflation in Iran: An Application of a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) Approach

Curbing inflation is one of the requirements of a good economic policy. The steady rise of inflation can exacerbate poverty and income inequality, and even increase crime. Therefore, various studies have identified inflation as a determinant in reducing economic welfare. Considering that the Iranian...

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Main Authors: Mani Motameni, Shahryar Zaroki, Arman Yousefi Barfurushi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Institute for Management and Planning Studies 2023-05-01
Series:برنامه‌ریزی و بودجه
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jpbud.ir/article-1-2161-en.pdf
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author Mani Motameni
Shahryar Zaroki
Arman Yousefi Barfurushi
author_facet Mani Motameni
Shahryar Zaroki
Arman Yousefi Barfurushi
author_sort Mani Motameni
collection DOAJ
description Curbing inflation is one of the requirements of a good economic policy. The steady rise of inflation can exacerbate poverty and income inequality, and even increase crime. Therefore, various studies have identified inflation as a determinant in reducing economic welfare. Considering that the Iranian economy has experienced high inflation in recent decades, it seems that the welfare of the Iranian population responds quickly to this variable, and reducing the frequency of data may reduce pattern explanation. This study attempts to measure the effect of monthly inflation on economic well-being for the period 1982-2020. Since the index of economic well-being cannot be determined at a frequency higher than annual, it is necessary to employ a mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) approach. Economic growth has been also included in the model as a control variable. The estimation results indicate that inflation has a negative (unfavorable) effect, and economic growth has a positive (favorable) effect on economic well-being. Moreover, the effect of inflation is significantly larger than economic growth. In other words, controlling inflation may have a greater effect on the economic well-being of society in the long term than economic growth.
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spelling doaj.art-752e308ca5c741a9a00e29226f86d9612023-08-27T09:11:31ZfasInstitute for Management and Planning Studiesبرنامه‌ریزی و بودجه2251-90922251-91062023-05-012813152Testing the Response of the Annual Well-Being Index to Monthly Inflation in Iran: An Application of a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) ApproachMani Motameni0Shahryar Zaroki1Arman Yousefi Barfurushi2 Department of Energy Economy, Faculty of Economics and Administration Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Iran. Department of Energy Economy, Faculty of Economics and Administration Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Iran. Department of Energy Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administration Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Iran Curbing inflation is one of the requirements of a good economic policy. The steady rise of inflation can exacerbate poverty and income inequality, and even increase crime. Therefore, various studies have identified inflation as a determinant in reducing economic welfare. Considering that the Iranian economy has experienced high inflation in recent decades, it seems that the welfare of the Iranian population responds quickly to this variable, and reducing the frequency of data may reduce pattern explanation. This study attempts to measure the effect of monthly inflation on economic well-being for the period 1982-2020. Since the index of economic well-being cannot be determined at a frequency higher than annual, it is necessary to employ a mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) approach. Economic growth has been also included in the model as a control variable. The estimation results indicate that inflation has a negative (unfavorable) effect, and economic growth has a positive (favorable) effect on economic well-being. Moreover, the effect of inflation is significantly larger than economic growth. In other words, controlling inflation may have a greater effect on the economic well-being of society in the long term than economic growth.http://jpbud.ir/article-1-2161-en.pdfinflationmixed dataeconomic growtheconomic well-beingiran.
spellingShingle Mani Motameni
Shahryar Zaroki
Arman Yousefi Barfurushi
Testing the Response of the Annual Well-Being Index to Monthly Inflation in Iran: An Application of a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) Approach
برنامه‌ریزی و بودجه
inflation
mixed data
economic growth
economic well-being
iran.
title Testing the Response of the Annual Well-Being Index to Monthly Inflation in Iran: An Application of a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) Approach
title_full Testing the Response of the Annual Well-Being Index to Monthly Inflation in Iran: An Application of a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) Approach
title_fullStr Testing the Response of the Annual Well-Being Index to Monthly Inflation in Iran: An Application of a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) Approach
title_full_unstemmed Testing the Response of the Annual Well-Being Index to Monthly Inflation in Iran: An Application of a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) Approach
title_short Testing the Response of the Annual Well-Being Index to Monthly Inflation in Iran: An Application of a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) Approach
title_sort testing the response of the annual well being index to monthly inflation in iran an application of a mixed data sampling midas approach
topic inflation
mixed data
economic growth
economic well-being
iran.
url http://jpbud.ir/article-1-2161-en.pdf
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AT shahryarzaroki testingtheresponseoftheannualwellbeingindextomonthlyinflationinirananapplicationofamixeddatasamplingmidasapproach
AT armanyousefibarfurushi testingtheresponseoftheannualwellbeingindextomonthlyinflationinirananapplicationofamixeddatasamplingmidasapproach