The impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on the Oil Prices and the Oil Revenues of the OPEC members

The introduction of the new oil exchanges and development of oil derivatives transactions have dramatically changed the mechanism of oil price movements. Expectations of monetary policies and directions of money flows between the financial and commodity markets have played fundamental roles in deriv...

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Main Authors: Ali Emami Meibodi, Mohammad Shamsoddin
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2010-06-01
Series:فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3448_c3ba70df16a87ca1b6f32678af431f29.pdf
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author Ali Emami Meibodi
Mohammad Shamsoddin
author_facet Ali Emami Meibodi
Mohammad Shamsoddin
author_sort Ali Emami Meibodi
collection DOAJ
description The introduction of the new oil exchanges and development of oil derivatives transactions have dramatically changed the mechanism of oil price movements. Expectations of monetary policies and directions of money flows between the financial and commodity markets have played fundamental roles in deriving  the oil prices in the world markets.This paper investigates the effect of the U.S. monetary policy on the real prices of oil and the real revenues of the OPEC member countries using the Dornbusch’s overshooting model. The results show the negative long run Co-integration between oil prices and the U.S. interest rates. The results of the Random Effect Model also reveal that the difference between the real interest rates of the U.S. and that of the OPEC members has a negative impact on the oil revenues of the OPEC members.
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spelling doaj.art-75a9cc972658496593d9d7566b2d06f62024-01-02T10:28:43ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452010-06-011443811093448The impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on the Oil Prices and the Oil Revenues of the OPEC membersAli Emami Meibodi0Mohammad Shamsoddin1Assistant Professor, Faculty of Economics, Allameh Tbatabaei UniversityPhD Candidate in Economics, Allameh-Tbatabaei UniversityThe introduction of the new oil exchanges and development of oil derivatives transactions have dramatically changed the mechanism of oil price movements. Expectations of monetary policies and directions of money flows between the financial and commodity markets have played fundamental roles in deriving  the oil prices in the world markets.This paper investigates the effect of the U.S. monetary policy on the real prices of oil and the real revenues of the OPEC member countries using the Dornbusch’s overshooting model. The results show the negative long run Co-integration between oil prices and the U.S. interest rates. The results of the Random Effect Model also reveal that the difference between the real interest rates of the U.S. and that of the OPEC members has a negative impact on the oil revenues of the OPEC members.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3448_c3ba70df16a87ca1b6f32678af431f29.pdfoil priceoil revenueopecus monetary policy
spellingShingle Ali Emami Meibodi
Mohammad Shamsoddin
The impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on the Oil Prices and the Oil Revenues of the OPEC members
فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
oil price
oil revenue
opec
us monetary policy
title The impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on the Oil Prices and the Oil Revenues of the OPEC members
title_full The impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on the Oil Prices and the Oil Revenues of the OPEC members
title_fullStr The impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on the Oil Prices and the Oil Revenues of the OPEC members
title_full_unstemmed The impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on the Oil Prices and the Oil Revenues of the OPEC members
title_short The impact of the U.S. Monetary Policy on the Oil Prices and the Oil Revenues of the OPEC members
title_sort impact of the u s monetary policy on the oil prices and the oil revenues of the opec members
topic oil price
oil revenue
opec
us monetary policy
url https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3448_c3ba70df16a87ca1b6f32678af431f29.pdf
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