An analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default risk

The aim of this paper is the measurement of currency mismatch for a selected group of developing and frontier markets in the Central and Eastern Europe and Western Balkan regions and the analysis of the effects of aggregate currency misbalances on particular countries’ risk of default. The...

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Main Authors: Janković Irena, Živković Boško
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Economics, Belgrade 2014-01-01
Series:Ekonomski Anali
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2014/0013-32641401085J.pdf
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author Janković Irena
Živković Boško
author_facet Janković Irena
Živković Boško
author_sort Janković Irena
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this paper is the measurement of currency mismatch for a selected group of developing and frontier markets in the Central and Eastern Europe and Western Balkan regions and the analysis of the effects of aggregate currency misbalances on particular countries’ risk of default. The empirical tests provided confirm the positive effect of currency mismatch on default risk, which is reflected in the behaviour of yield spreads on the government bonds of the countries under consideration. The higher the negative currency misbalances are, the higher the EMBI spreads appear to be, and vice versa.
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spelling doaj.art-75e87d70ece340079a165d2c1ccc87802022-12-22T03:47:28ZengFaculty of Economics, BelgradeEkonomski Anali0013-32641820-73752014-01-01592018512110.2298/EKA1401085J0013-32641401085JAn analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default riskJanković Irena0Živković Boško1Faculty of Economics, BelgradeFaculty of Economics, BelgradeThe aim of this paper is the measurement of currency mismatch for a selected group of developing and frontier markets in the Central and Eastern Europe and Western Balkan regions and the analysis of the effects of aggregate currency misbalances on particular countries’ risk of default. The empirical tests provided confirm the positive effect of currency mismatch on default risk, which is reflected in the behaviour of yield spreads on the government bonds of the countries under consideration. The higher the negative currency misbalances are, the higher the EMBI spreads appear to be, and vice versa.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2014/0013-32641401085J.pdfcurrency mismatchdefault riskEMBI spreads
spellingShingle Janković Irena
Živković Boško
An analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default risk
Ekonomski Anali
currency mismatch
default risk
EMBI spreads
title An analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default risk
title_full An analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default risk
title_fullStr An analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default risk
title_full_unstemmed An analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default risk
title_short An analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country’s default risk
title_sort analysis of the effect of currency mismatch on a country s default risk
topic currency mismatch
default risk
EMBI spreads
url http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2014/0013-32641401085J.pdf
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