Flood Vulnerability Assessment of an Urban Area: A Case Study in Seoul, South Korea

Climate change has led to frequent and extreme flooding events in urban areas such as Seoul, a city that is particularly vulnerable due to drainage systems that were not originally designed to handle such conditions. This study aims to develop region-specific storm risk matrices for the 25 districts...

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Main Authors: Seonmi Lee, Youngje Choi, Jungwon Ji, Eunkyung Lee, Sooyeon Yi, Jaeeung Yi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/11/1979
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author Seonmi Lee
Youngje Choi
Jungwon Ji
Eunkyung Lee
Sooyeon Yi
Jaeeung Yi
author_facet Seonmi Lee
Youngje Choi
Jungwon Ji
Eunkyung Lee
Sooyeon Yi
Jaeeung Yi
author_sort Seonmi Lee
collection DOAJ
description Climate change has led to frequent and extreme flooding events in urban areas such as Seoul, a city that is particularly vulnerable due to drainage systems that were not originally designed to handle such conditions. This study aims to develop region-specific storm risk matrices for the 25 districts in Seoul and predict storm risks. By accounting for local meteorological and geographic characteristics, these matrices will enable a more targeted approach to issuing heavy rainfall warnings, as opposed to the current nationwide system. The methodology involves calculating entropy weight based on various factors, assessing flood vulnerability, and estimating region-specific rainfall associated with warning levels. These warning levels are then used to create storm risk matrices, which are tested for conformity against historical flood events. Finally, a storm risk prediction technique is developed using rainfall forecasting data. Results demonstrate the feasibility of using the newly developed storm risk matrices to predict flood damage up to 72 h in advance. This greatly contributes to the development of effective mitigation plans for addressing climate change-driven urban flood damage. The study’s findings offer valuable insights for enhancing local-specific heavy rainfall warning systems and ensuring better preparation in the face of increasing urban flood risks due to climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-75f4993bea5742a28b899d2d40d6d0762023-11-18T08:45:56ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412023-05-011511197910.3390/w15111979Flood Vulnerability Assessment of an Urban Area: A Case Study in Seoul, South KoreaSeonmi Lee0Youngje Choi1Jungwon Ji2Eunkyung Lee3Sooyeon Yi4Jaeeung Yi5Department of Civil Systems Engineering, Ajou University, 206 Worldcup-ro, Yeongtong-gu, Suwon 16499, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Hydro Science and Engineering Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, 283 Goyang-daero, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang 10223, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Civil Systems Engineering, Ajou University, 206 Worldcup-ro, Yeongtong-gu, Suwon 16499, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Civil Systems Engineering, Ajou University, 206 Worldcup-ro, Yeongtong-gu, Suwon 16499, Republic of KoreaLandscape Architecture & Environmental Planning, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USADepartment of Civil Systems Engineering, Ajou University, 206 Worldcup-ro, Yeongtong-gu, Suwon 16499, Republic of KoreaClimate change has led to frequent and extreme flooding events in urban areas such as Seoul, a city that is particularly vulnerable due to drainage systems that were not originally designed to handle such conditions. This study aims to develop region-specific storm risk matrices for the 25 districts in Seoul and predict storm risks. By accounting for local meteorological and geographic characteristics, these matrices will enable a more targeted approach to issuing heavy rainfall warnings, as opposed to the current nationwide system. The methodology involves calculating entropy weight based on various factors, assessing flood vulnerability, and estimating region-specific rainfall associated with warning levels. These warning levels are then used to create storm risk matrices, which are tested for conformity against historical flood events. Finally, a storm risk prediction technique is developed using rainfall forecasting data. Results demonstrate the feasibility of using the newly developed storm risk matrices to predict flood damage up to 72 h in advance. This greatly contributes to the development of effective mitigation plans for addressing climate change-driven urban flood damage. The study’s findings offer valuable insights for enhancing local-specific heavy rainfall warning systems and ensuring better preparation in the face of increasing urban flood risks due to climate change.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/11/1979storm risk matrixlocal ensemble prediction systemflood vulnerabilityclimate change
spellingShingle Seonmi Lee
Youngje Choi
Jungwon Ji
Eunkyung Lee
Sooyeon Yi
Jaeeung Yi
Flood Vulnerability Assessment of an Urban Area: A Case Study in Seoul, South Korea
Water
storm risk matrix
local ensemble prediction system
flood vulnerability
climate change
title Flood Vulnerability Assessment of an Urban Area: A Case Study in Seoul, South Korea
title_full Flood Vulnerability Assessment of an Urban Area: A Case Study in Seoul, South Korea
title_fullStr Flood Vulnerability Assessment of an Urban Area: A Case Study in Seoul, South Korea
title_full_unstemmed Flood Vulnerability Assessment of an Urban Area: A Case Study in Seoul, South Korea
title_short Flood Vulnerability Assessment of an Urban Area: A Case Study in Seoul, South Korea
title_sort flood vulnerability assessment of an urban area a case study in seoul south korea
topic storm risk matrix
local ensemble prediction system
flood vulnerability
climate change
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/11/1979
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