Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France
Extremes of temperature, precipitation and wind have caused damages in France, in the agriculture, transportation and health sectors. Those types of events are largely driven by the atmospheric circulation. The dependence on the global climate change is not always clear, and it is the subject of ext...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2021-10-01
|
| Series: | Atmosphere |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/11/1440 |
| _version_ | 1797511220629078016 |
|---|---|
| author | Pascal Yiou Davide Faranda Soulivanh Thao Mathieu Vrac |
| author_facet | Pascal Yiou Davide Faranda Soulivanh Thao Mathieu Vrac |
| author_sort | Pascal Yiou |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Extremes of temperature, precipitation and wind have caused damages in France, in the agriculture, transportation and health sectors. Those types of events are largely driven by the atmospheric circulation. The dependence on the global climate change is not always clear, and it is the subject of extreme event attribution (EEA). This study reports an analysis of the atmospheric circulation over France for seven events that struck France in the 21st century, in various seasons. We focus on the atmospheric dynamics that leads to those extremes and examine how the probability of atmospheric patterns and their predictability responds to climate change. We analyse how the features of those events evolve in simulations following an SSP585 scenario for future climate. We identify how thermodynamical and dynamical changes of the atmosphere affect the predictability of the atmospheric circulation. Those using a range of CMIP6 simulations helps determining uncertainties linked to climate models. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T05:42:16Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-7661e21f030046f4b2ff3791c3585d48 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2073-4433 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T05:42:16Z |
| publishDate | 2021-10-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Atmosphere |
| spelling | doaj.art-7661e21f030046f4b2ff3791c3585d482023-11-22T22:24:24ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332021-10-011211144010.3390/atmos12111440Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in FrancePascal Yiou0Davide Faranda1Soulivanh Thao2Mathieu Vrac3Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, UMR8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, U Paris-Saclay & IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, UMR8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, U Paris-Saclay & IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, UMR8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, U Paris-Saclay & IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, UMR8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, U Paris-Saclay & IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceExtremes of temperature, precipitation and wind have caused damages in France, in the agriculture, transportation and health sectors. Those types of events are largely driven by the atmospheric circulation. The dependence on the global climate change is not always clear, and it is the subject of extreme event attribution (EEA). This study reports an analysis of the atmospheric circulation over France for seven events that struck France in the 21st century, in various seasons. We focus on the atmospheric dynamics that leads to those extremes and examine how the probability of atmospheric patterns and their predictability responds to climate change. We analyse how the features of those events evolve in simulations following an SSP585 scenario for future climate. We identify how thermodynamical and dynamical changes of the atmosphere affect the predictability of the atmospheric circulation. Those using a range of CMIP6 simulations helps determining uncertainties linked to climate models.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/11/1440extreme eventsclimate changeFrance |
| spellingShingle | Pascal Yiou Davide Faranda Soulivanh Thao Mathieu Vrac Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France Atmosphere extreme events climate change France |
| title | Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France |
| title_full | Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France |
| title_fullStr | Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France |
| title_short | Projected Changes in the Atmospheric Dynamics of Climate Extremes in France |
| title_sort | projected changes in the atmospheric dynamics of climate extremes in france |
| topic | extreme events climate change France |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/11/1440 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT pascalyiou projectedchangesintheatmosphericdynamicsofclimateextremesinfrance AT davidefaranda projectedchangesintheatmosphericdynamicsofclimateextremesinfrance AT soulivanhthao projectedchangesintheatmosphericdynamicsofclimateextremesinfrance AT mathieuvrac projectedchangesintheatmosphericdynamicsofclimateextremesinfrance |