GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CRYPTOCURRENCY: A LOVE TRIANGLE GONE WRONG

This study aims to investigate the spillover effects from geopolitical risks (proxied by the geopolitical risk index GPRD) and cryptocurrencies-related uncertainty (proxied by the Cryptocurrency Uncertainty Index UCRY) to cryptocurrencies. We utilize the Baruník and Křehlík (2018) framework to dete...

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Main Authors: Leila Dagher, Amar Rao, Dagar Vishal, Olatunji Shobande
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tuwhera Open Access Publisher 2024-03-01
Series:Applied Finance Letters
Online Access:https://ojs.aut.ac.nz/applied-finance-letters/article/view/699
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author Leila Dagher
Amar Rao
Dagar Vishal
Olatunji Shobande
author_facet Leila Dagher
Amar Rao
Dagar Vishal
Olatunji Shobande
author_sort Leila Dagher
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to investigate the spillover effects from geopolitical risks (proxied by the geopolitical risk index GPRD) and cryptocurrencies-related uncertainty (proxied by the Cryptocurrency Uncertainty Index UCRY) to cryptocurrencies. We utilize the Baruník and Křehlík (2018) framework to detect time-frequency connectedness. Our investigation for the period 2017 to 2022 discovers significant spillover effects from both indices (GPRD and UCRY) to cryptocurrencies. Utilizing the information transmission theory and network graphs, our findings reveal that some cryptocurrencies function as net receivers of spillovers from geopolitical risks and uncertainty in the short-term, while over longer time horizons they transform into net transmitters of spillovers to uncertainty. The study underscores the importance of comprehending how uncertainty due to various factors (geopolitical, policy changes, regulatory changes, etc.) could affect the cryptocurrencies’ markets.
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spelling doaj.art-76894f7fb0204c14b841c70d586e6c2d2024-03-27T11:06:37ZengTuwhera Open Access PublisherApplied Finance Letters2253-57992253-58022024-03-011310.24135/afl.v13i.699GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CRYPTOCURRENCY: A LOVE TRIANGLE GONE WRONGLeila Dagher0Amar RaoDagar VishalOlatunji Shobandeamerican university of beirut This study aims to investigate the spillover effects from geopolitical risks (proxied by the geopolitical risk index GPRD) and cryptocurrencies-related uncertainty (proxied by the Cryptocurrency Uncertainty Index UCRY) to cryptocurrencies. We utilize the Baruník and Křehlík (2018) framework to detect time-frequency connectedness. Our investigation for the period 2017 to 2022 discovers significant spillover effects from both indices (GPRD and UCRY) to cryptocurrencies. Utilizing the information transmission theory and network graphs, our findings reveal that some cryptocurrencies function as net receivers of spillovers from geopolitical risks and uncertainty in the short-term, while over longer time horizons they transform into net transmitters of spillovers to uncertainty. The study underscores the importance of comprehending how uncertainty due to various factors (geopolitical, policy changes, regulatory changes, etc.) could affect the cryptocurrencies’ markets. https://ojs.aut.ac.nz/applied-finance-letters/article/view/699
spellingShingle Leila Dagher
Amar Rao
Dagar Vishal
Olatunji Shobande
GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CRYPTOCURRENCY: A LOVE TRIANGLE GONE WRONG
Applied Finance Letters
title GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CRYPTOCURRENCY: A LOVE TRIANGLE GONE WRONG
title_full GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CRYPTOCURRENCY: A LOVE TRIANGLE GONE WRONG
title_fullStr GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CRYPTOCURRENCY: A LOVE TRIANGLE GONE WRONG
title_full_unstemmed GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CRYPTOCURRENCY: A LOVE TRIANGLE GONE WRONG
title_short GEOPOLITICS, UNCERTAINTY, AND CRYPTOCURRENCY: A LOVE TRIANGLE GONE WRONG
title_sort geopolitics uncertainty and cryptocurrency a love triangle gone wrong
url https://ojs.aut.ac.nz/applied-finance-letters/article/view/699
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AT amarrao geopoliticsuncertaintyandcryptocurrencyalovetrianglegonewrong
AT dagarvishal geopoliticsuncertaintyandcryptocurrencyalovetrianglegonewrong
AT olatunjishobande geopoliticsuncertaintyandcryptocurrencyalovetrianglegonewrong