Data-Mining-based filtering to support Solar Forecasting Methodologies

This paper proposes an hybrid approach for short term solar intensity forecasting, which combines different forecasting methodologies with a clustering algorithm, which plays the role of data filter, in order to support the selection of the best data for training. A set of methodologies based on Art...

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Main Authors: Tiago PINTO, Luis MARQUES, Tiago M SOUSA, Isabel PRAÇA, Zita VALE, Samuel L ABREU
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca 2017-11-01
Series:Advances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.usal.es/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/17015
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author Tiago PINTO
Luis MARQUES
Tiago M SOUSA
Isabel PRAÇA
Zita VALE
Samuel L ABREU
author_facet Tiago PINTO
Luis MARQUES
Tiago M SOUSA
Isabel PRAÇA
Zita VALE
Samuel L ABREU
author_sort Tiago PINTO
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes an hybrid approach for short term solar intensity forecasting, which combines different forecasting methodologies with a clustering algorithm, which plays the role of data filter, in order to support the selection of the best data for training. A set of methodologies based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM), used for short term solar irradiance forecast, is implemented and compared in order to facilitate the selection of the most appropriate methods and respective parameters according to the available information and needs. Data from the Brazilian city of Florianópolis, in the state of Santa Catarina, has been used to illustrate the methods applicability and conclusions. The dataset comprises the years of 1990 to 1999 and includes four solar irradiance components as well as other meteorological variables, such as temperature, wind speed and humidity. Conclusions about the irradiance components, parameters and the proposed clustering mechanism are presented. The results are studied and analysed considering both efficiency and effectiveness of the results. The experimental findings show that the hybrid model, combining a SVM approach with a clustering mechanism, to filter the data used for training, achieved promising results, outperforming the approaches without clustering.
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spelling doaj.art-7698c31bcc8f435f909bddc03066409e2022-12-21T23:27:13ZengEdiciones Universidad de SalamancaAdvances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal2255-28632017-11-01638510210.14201/ADCAIJ2017638510214900Data-Mining-based filtering to support Solar Forecasting MethodologiesTiago PINTO0Luis MARQUES1Tiago M SOUSA2Isabel PRAÇA3Zita VALE4Samuel L ABREU5BISITE - University of SalamancaGECAD - Polytechnic of PortoGECAD - Polytechnic of PortoGECAD - Polytechnic of PortoGECAD - Polytechnic of PortoGeneral – Alternative Energies Group - IFSC – Instituto Federal de Santa CatarinaThis paper proposes an hybrid approach for short term solar intensity forecasting, which combines different forecasting methodologies with a clustering algorithm, which plays the role of data filter, in order to support the selection of the best data for training. A set of methodologies based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM), used for short term solar irradiance forecast, is implemented and compared in order to facilitate the selection of the most appropriate methods and respective parameters according to the available information and needs. Data from the Brazilian city of Florianópolis, in the state of Santa Catarina, has been used to illustrate the methods applicability and conclusions. The dataset comprises the years of 1990 to 1999 and includes four solar irradiance components as well as other meteorological variables, such as temperature, wind speed and humidity. Conclusions about the irradiance components, parameters and the proposed clustering mechanism are presented. The results are studied and analysed considering both efficiency and effectiveness of the results. The experimental findings show that the hybrid model, combining a SVM approach with a clustering mechanism, to filter the data used for training, achieved promising results, outperforming the approaches without clustering.https://revistas.usal.es/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/17015artificial neural networkclustering, data miningmachine learningsolar forecastingsupport vector machine
spellingShingle Tiago PINTO
Luis MARQUES
Tiago M SOUSA
Isabel PRAÇA
Zita VALE
Samuel L ABREU
Data-Mining-based filtering to support Solar Forecasting Methodologies
Advances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal
artificial neural network
clustering, data mining
machine learning
solar forecasting
support vector machine
title Data-Mining-based filtering to support Solar Forecasting Methodologies
title_full Data-Mining-based filtering to support Solar Forecasting Methodologies
title_fullStr Data-Mining-based filtering to support Solar Forecasting Methodologies
title_full_unstemmed Data-Mining-based filtering to support Solar Forecasting Methodologies
title_short Data-Mining-based filtering to support Solar Forecasting Methodologies
title_sort data mining based filtering to support solar forecasting methodologies
topic artificial neural network
clustering, data mining
machine learning
solar forecasting
support vector machine
url https://revistas.usal.es/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/17015
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AT isabelpraca dataminingbasedfilteringtosupportsolarforecastingmethodologies
AT zitavale dataminingbasedfilteringtosupportsolarforecastingmethodologies
AT samuellabreu dataminingbasedfilteringtosupportsolarforecastingmethodologies