Approximate Bayesian Computation for Discrete Spaces

Many real-life processes are black-box problems, i.e., the internal workings are inaccessible or a closed-form mathematical expression of the likelihood function cannot be defined. For continuous random variables, likelihood-free inference problems can be solved via Approximate Bayesian Computation...

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Main Authors: Ilze A. Auzina, Jakub M. Tomczak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-03-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/3/312
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author Ilze A. Auzina
Jakub M. Tomczak
author_facet Ilze A. Auzina
Jakub M. Tomczak
author_sort Ilze A. Auzina
collection DOAJ
description Many real-life processes are black-box problems, i.e., the internal workings are inaccessible or a closed-form mathematical expression of the likelihood function cannot be defined. For continuous random variables, likelihood-free inference problems can be solved via Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). However, an optimal alternative for discrete random variables is yet to be formulated. Here, we aim to fill this research gap. We propose an adjusted population-based MCMC ABC method by re-defining the standard ABC parameters to discrete ones and by introducing a novel Markov kernel that is inspired by differential evolution. We first assess the proposed Markov kernel on a likelihood-based inference problem, namely discovering the underlying diseases based on a QMR-DTnetwork and, subsequently, the entire method on three likelihood-free inference problems: (i) the QMR-DT network with the unknown likelihood function, (ii) the learning binary neural network, and (iii) neural architecture search. The obtained results indicate the high potential of the proposed framework and the superiority of the new Markov kernel.
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spelling doaj.art-76afb917a8a14d53835fc867bb4afea12023-12-03T12:47:00ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002021-03-0123331210.3390/e23030312Approximate Bayesian Computation for Discrete SpacesIlze A. Auzina0Jakub M. Tomczak1Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1111, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The NetherlandsDepartment of Computer Science, Faculty of Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1111, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The NetherlandsMany real-life processes are black-box problems, i.e., the internal workings are inaccessible or a closed-form mathematical expression of the likelihood function cannot be defined. For continuous random variables, likelihood-free inference problems can be solved via Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). However, an optimal alternative for discrete random variables is yet to be formulated. Here, we aim to fill this research gap. We propose an adjusted population-based MCMC ABC method by re-defining the standard ABC parameters to discrete ones and by introducing a novel Markov kernel that is inspired by differential evolution. We first assess the proposed Markov kernel on a likelihood-based inference problem, namely discovering the underlying diseases based on a QMR-DTnetwork and, subsequently, the entire method on three likelihood-free inference problems: (i) the QMR-DT network with the unknown likelihood function, (ii) the learning binary neural network, and (iii) neural architecture search. The obtained results indicate the high potential of the proposed framework and the superiority of the new Markov kernel.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/3/312Approximate Bayesian Computationdifferential evolutionMCMCMarkov kernelsdiscrete state space
spellingShingle Ilze A. Auzina
Jakub M. Tomczak
Approximate Bayesian Computation for Discrete Spaces
Entropy
Approximate Bayesian Computation
differential evolution
MCMC
Markov kernels
discrete state space
title Approximate Bayesian Computation for Discrete Spaces
title_full Approximate Bayesian Computation for Discrete Spaces
title_fullStr Approximate Bayesian Computation for Discrete Spaces
title_full_unstemmed Approximate Bayesian Computation for Discrete Spaces
title_short Approximate Bayesian Computation for Discrete Spaces
title_sort approximate bayesian computation for discrete spaces
topic Approximate Bayesian Computation
differential evolution
MCMC
Markov kernels
discrete state space
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/3/312
work_keys_str_mv AT ilzeaauzina approximatebayesiancomputationfordiscretespaces
AT jakubmtomczak approximatebayesiancomputationfordiscretespaces