Sustainable Development and the Dilemma of Egyptian Economic Growth and Climate Change: 1917-2015

It is forecasted that 250,000 people will die every year because of climate change and that 86.4 percent of the world population will be living in poverty by 2050. Previous literature has highlighted the tradeoff between poverty reductions and eliminating environmental degradation. Improving the liv...

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Main Authors: Dina Yousri, Christian Richter
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEREK Press 2019-05-01
Series:ARCHive-SR
Subjects:
Online Access:https://press.ierek.com/index.php/ARChive/article/view/519
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author Dina Yousri
Christian Richter
author_facet Dina Yousri
Christian Richter
author_sort Dina Yousri
collection DOAJ
description It is forecasted that 250,000 people will die every year because of climate change and that 86.4 percent of the world population will be living in poverty by 2050. Previous literature has highlighted the tradeoff between poverty reductions and eliminating environmental degradation. Improving the livelihood of the poor therefore has to include improving the environment as well; especially that the poor suffer disproportionally from the effects of environmental decline. This paper tests the long term impact of climate change on economic growth in Egypt over a time period of 98 years using the Threshold model. The estimated threshold regression model suggests 22.9o C as the threshold value of temperature rate above which temperature significantly retards the growth rate of GDP. In addition, below the threshold level, there is a statistically significant positive relationship between Temperature and growth.
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spelling doaj.art-76c988f3871c469aa519b4f688c11c3d2023-12-18T18:20:17ZengIEREK PressARCHive-SR2537-01542537-01622019-05-013310.21625/archive.v3i3.519342Sustainable Development and the Dilemma of Egyptian Economic Growth and Climate Change: 1917-2015Dina Yousri0Christian Richter1Economics Department, Faculty of Management Technology, German University in Cairo, EgyptEconomics Department, Faculty of Management Technology, German University in Cairo, EgyptIt is forecasted that 250,000 people will die every year because of climate change and that 86.4 percent of the world population will be living in poverty by 2050. Previous literature has highlighted the tradeoff between poverty reductions and eliminating environmental degradation. Improving the livelihood of the poor therefore has to include improving the environment as well; especially that the poor suffer disproportionally from the effects of environmental decline. This paper tests the long term impact of climate change on economic growth in Egypt over a time period of 98 years using the Threshold model. The estimated threshold regression model suggests 22.9o C as the threshold value of temperature rate above which temperature significantly retards the growth rate of GDP. In addition, below the threshold level, there is a statistically significant positive relationship between Temperature and growth.https://press.ierek.com/index.php/ARChive/article/view/519Climate ChangeDeveloping CountriesEnvironmental degradationPovertySustainable DevelopmentEconomic Growth
spellingShingle Dina Yousri
Christian Richter
Sustainable Development and the Dilemma of Egyptian Economic Growth and Climate Change: 1917-2015
ARCHive-SR
Climate Change
Developing Countries
Environmental degradation
Poverty
Sustainable Development
Economic Growth
title Sustainable Development and the Dilemma of Egyptian Economic Growth and Climate Change: 1917-2015
title_full Sustainable Development and the Dilemma of Egyptian Economic Growth and Climate Change: 1917-2015
title_fullStr Sustainable Development and the Dilemma of Egyptian Economic Growth and Climate Change: 1917-2015
title_full_unstemmed Sustainable Development and the Dilemma of Egyptian Economic Growth and Climate Change: 1917-2015
title_short Sustainable Development and the Dilemma of Egyptian Economic Growth and Climate Change: 1917-2015
title_sort sustainable development and the dilemma of egyptian economic growth and climate change 1917 2015
topic Climate Change
Developing Countries
Environmental degradation
Poverty
Sustainable Development
Economic Growth
url https://press.ierek.com/index.php/ARChive/article/view/519
work_keys_str_mv AT dinayousri sustainabledevelopmentandthedilemmaofegyptianeconomicgrowthandclimatechange19172015
AT christianrichter sustainabledevelopmentandthedilemmaofegyptianeconomicgrowthandclimatechange19172015