Financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks: a comparative in the 2008 crisis

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been used in different segments inside the area of finance such as stock prices and market indices forecast. This article seeks to measure the power of ANN on the Bovespa Index and the prediction of stock prices, verifying their forecast power even in times of c...

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Main Authors: Debora Barbosa Aires, Ronaldo César Dametto, Antonio Fernando Crepaldi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidade Estadual Paulista 2018-03-01
Series:GEPROS: Gestão da Produção, Operações e Sistemas
Subjects:
Online Access:http://revista.feb.unesp.br/index.php/gepros/article/view/2016
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author Debora Barbosa Aires
Ronaldo César Dametto
Antonio Fernando Crepaldi
author_facet Debora Barbosa Aires
Ronaldo César Dametto
Antonio Fernando Crepaldi
author_sort Debora Barbosa Aires
collection DOAJ
description Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been used in different segments inside the area of finance such as stock prices and market indices forecast. This article seeks to measure the power of ANN on the Bovespa Index and the prediction of stock prices, verifying their forecast power even in times of crisis. Therefore, time series of over a decade were extracted from Yahoo! Finance, including the period of the subprime crisis and its temporal neighborhoods. ANN were performed using Matlab 2016a software with satisfactory results, which were evaluated by scattergrams errors and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) method.
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spelling doaj.art-7710f8f8d9a8443dae9b4641fb31432d2022-12-22T01:59:57ZengUniversidade Estadual PaulistaGEPROS: Gestão da Produção, Operações e Sistemas1984-24302018-03-0113117720510.15675/gepros.v13i1.2016Financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks: a comparative in the 2008 crisisDebora Barbosa AiresRonaldo César DamettoAntonio Fernando CrepaldiArtificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been used in different segments inside the area of finance such as stock prices and market indices forecast. This article seeks to measure the power of ANN on the Bovespa Index and the prediction of stock prices, verifying their forecast power even in times of crisis. Therefore, time series of over a decade were extracted from Yahoo! Finance, including the period of the subprime crisis and its temporal neighborhoods. ANN were performed using Matlab 2016a software with satisfactory results, which were evaluated by scattergrams errors and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) method.http://revista.feb.unesp.br/index.php/gepros/article/view/2016Artificial Neural NetworksIbovespaABEV3ITUB4Stock MarketPrices ForecastSubprime Crisis
spellingShingle Debora Barbosa Aires
Ronaldo César Dametto
Antonio Fernando Crepaldi
Financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks: a comparative in the 2008 crisis
GEPROS: Gestão da Produção, Operações e Sistemas
Artificial Neural Networks
Ibovespa
ABEV3
ITUB4
Stock Market
Prices Forecast
Subprime Crisis
title Financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks: a comparative in the 2008 crisis
title_full Financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks: a comparative in the 2008 crisis
title_fullStr Financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks: a comparative in the 2008 crisis
title_full_unstemmed Financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks: a comparative in the 2008 crisis
title_short Financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks: a comparative in the 2008 crisis
title_sort financial time series forecast using artificial neural networks a comparative in the 2008 crisis
topic Artificial Neural Networks
Ibovespa
ABEV3
ITUB4
Stock Market
Prices Forecast
Subprime Crisis
url http://revista.feb.unesp.br/index.php/gepros/article/view/2016
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AT ronaldocesardametto financialtimeseriesforecastusingartificialneuralnetworksacomparativeinthe2008crisis
AT antoniofernandocrepaldi financialtimeseriesforecastusingartificialneuralnetworksacomparativeinthe2008crisis