Risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in Jamaica: a cross-sectional study of national surveillance data

Objectives. To describe the characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 cases in Jamaica and to explore the risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 from 9 March to 31 December 2020. Methods. A cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data was conducted using confirmed COVID-19 cases in Ja...

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Main Authors: Karen Webster-Kerr, Andriene Grant, Ardene Harris, Romae Thorpe, Daidre Rowe, Deborah Henningham, Tanielle Mullings, Iyanna Wellington, Jovan Wiggan, Kelly Ann Gordon-Johnson, Carol Lord, Tonia Dawkins-Beharie, Jemma Azille-Lewis, Jacqueline Duncan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Pan American Health Organization 2024-04-01
Series:Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública
Subjects:
Online Access:https://iris.paho.org/handle/10665.2/59400
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author Karen Webster-Kerr
Andriene Grant
Ardene Harris
Romae Thorpe
Daidre Rowe
Deborah Henningham
Tanielle Mullings
Iyanna Wellington
Jovan Wiggan
Kelly Ann Gordon-Johnson
Carol Lord
Tonia Dawkins-Beharie
Jemma Azille-Lewis
Jacqueline Duncan
author_facet Karen Webster-Kerr
Andriene Grant
Ardene Harris
Romae Thorpe
Daidre Rowe
Deborah Henningham
Tanielle Mullings
Iyanna Wellington
Jovan Wiggan
Kelly Ann Gordon-Johnson
Carol Lord
Tonia Dawkins-Beharie
Jemma Azille-Lewis
Jacqueline Duncan
author_sort Karen Webster-Kerr
collection DOAJ
description Objectives. To describe the characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 cases in Jamaica and to explore the risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 from 9 March to 31 December 2020. Methods. A cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data was conducted using confirmed COVID-19 cases in Jamaica. Definitions of a confirmed case, disease severity, and death were based on World Health Organization guidelines. Chi-square and Fisher exact tests were used to determine association with outcomes. Logistic regression models were used to determine predictors of severe COVID-19. Results. This analysis included 12 169 cases of COVID-19 (median age, 36 years; 6 744 females [ 55.4%]) of which 512 cases (4.2%) presented with severe disease, and of those, 318 patients (62.1%) died (median age at death, 71.5 years). Severe disease was associated with being male (OR 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.7) and 40 years or older (OR, 6.5; 95% CI, 5.1-8.2). COVID-19 death was also associated with being male (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.7), age 40 years or older (OR, 17.9; 95% CI, 11.6-27.7), and in the Western versus South East Health Region (OR 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.3). Conclusions. The findings of this cross-sectional analysis indicate that confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Jamaica were more likely to be female and younger individuals, whereas COVID-19 deaths occurred more frequently in males and older individuals. There is increased risk of poor COVID-19 outcomes beginning at age 40, with males disproportionately affected. COVID-19 death also varied by geographic region. This evidence could be useful to other countries with similar settings and to policymakers charged with managing outbreaks and health.
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spelling doaj.art-774a98aed04e4e26bdd21bedbea6eaad2024-04-04T13:11:45ZengPan American Health OrganizationRevista Panamericana de Salud Pública1020-49891680-53482024-04-0148361810.26633/RPSP.2024.36rpspRisk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in Jamaica: a cross-sectional study of national surveillance dataKaren Webster-Kerr0Andriene Grant1Ardene Harris2Romae Thorpe3Daidre Rowe4Deborah Henningham5Tanielle Mullings6Iyanna Wellington7Jovan Wiggan8Kelly Ann Gordon-Johnson9Carol Lord10Tonia Dawkins-Beharie11Jemma Azille-Lewis12Jacqueline Duncan13Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Ministry of Health and Wellness, Kingston, Jamaica.Southern Regional Health Authority, Ministry of Health and Wellness, Mandeville, Jamaica.Youth at Risk, Gender Affairs, Seniors Security, and Dominicans with Disabilities, Ministry of Youth Development and Empowerment, Roseau, Commonwealth of Dominica.Department of Community Health and Psychiatry, University of the West Indies, Mona, Jamaica.Objectives. To describe the characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 cases in Jamaica and to explore the risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 from 9 March to 31 December 2020. Methods. A cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data was conducted using confirmed COVID-19 cases in Jamaica. Definitions of a confirmed case, disease severity, and death were based on World Health Organization guidelines. Chi-square and Fisher exact tests were used to determine association with outcomes. Logistic regression models were used to determine predictors of severe COVID-19. Results. This analysis included 12 169 cases of COVID-19 (median age, 36 years; 6 744 females [ 55.4%]) of which 512 cases (4.2%) presented with severe disease, and of those, 318 patients (62.1%) died (median age at death, 71.5 years). Severe disease was associated with being male (OR 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.7) and 40 years or older (OR, 6.5; 95% CI, 5.1-8.2). COVID-19 death was also associated with being male (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.7), age 40 years or older (OR, 17.9; 95% CI, 11.6-27.7), and in the Western versus South East Health Region (OR 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.3). Conclusions. The findings of this cross-sectional analysis indicate that confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Jamaica were more likely to be female and younger individuals, whereas COVID-19 deaths occurred more frequently in males and older individuals. There is increased risk of poor COVID-19 outcomes beginning at age 40, with males disproportionately affected. COVID-19 death also varied by geographic region. This evidence could be useful to other countries with similar settings and to policymakers charged with managing outbreaks and health.https://iris.paho.org/handle/10665.2/59400covid-19sars-cov-2communicable diseases, emergingepidemiological monitoringdiagnosis of health situationcaribbean region
spellingShingle Karen Webster-Kerr
Andriene Grant
Ardene Harris
Romae Thorpe
Daidre Rowe
Deborah Henningham
Tanielle Mullings
Iyanna Wellington
Jovan Wiggan
Kelly Ann Gordon-Johnson
Carol Lord
Tonia Dawkins-Beharie
Jemma Azille-Lewis
Jacqueline Duncan
Risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in Jamaica: a cross-sectional study of national surveillance data
Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública
covid-19
sars-cov-2
communicable diseases, emerging
epidemiological monitoring
diagnosis of health situation
caribbean region
title Risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in Jamaica: a cross-sectional study of national surveillance data
title_full Risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in Jamaica: a cross-sectional study of national surveillance data
title_fullStr Risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in Jamaica: a cross-sectional study of national surveillance data
title_full_unstemmed Risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in Jamaica: a cross-sectional study of national surveillance data
title_short Risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in Jamaica: a cross-sectional study of national surveillance data
title_sort risk factors associated with severe covid 19 outcomes in jamaica a cross sectional study of national surveillance data
topic covid-19
sars-cov-2
communicable diseases, emerging
epidemiological monitoring
diagnosis of health situation
caribbean region
url https://iris.paho.org/handle/10665.2/59400
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