Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length

The stochastic processes of finite length defined by recurrence relations request additional relations specifying the first terms of the process analogously to the initial conditions for the differential equations. As a general rule, in time series theory one analyzes only stochastic processes of in...

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Main Authors: Călin Vamoş, Ştefan M. Şoltuz, Maria Crăciun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Publishing House of the Romanian Academy 2007-08-01
Series:Journal of Numerical Analysis and Approximation Theory
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ictp.acad.ro/jnaat/journal/article/view/869
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author Călin Vamoş
Ştefan M. Şoltuz
Maria Crăciun
author_facet Călin Vamoş
Ştefan M. Şoltuz
Maria Crăciun
author_sort Călin Vamoş
collection DOAJ
description The stochastic processes of finite length defined by recurrence relations request additional relations specifying the first terms of the process analogously to the initial conditions for the differential equations. As a general rule, in time series theory one analyzes only stochastic processes of infinite length which need no such initial conditions and their properties are less difficult to be determined. In this paper we compare the properties of the order 1 autoregressive processes of finite and infinite length and we prove that the time series length has an important influence mainly if the serial correlation is significant. These different properties can manifest themselves as transient effects produced when a time series is numerically generated. We show that for an order 1 autoregressive process the transient behavior can be avoided if the first term is a Gaussian random variable with standard deviation equal to that of the theoretical infinite process and not to that of the white noise innovation.
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spelling doaj.art-776ff0396bd244c7b5285c162def98b22022-12-22T00:42:35ZengPublishing House of the Romanian AcademyJournal of Numerical Analysis and Approximation Theory2457-67942501-059X2007-08-01362Order 1 autoregressive process of finite lengthCălin Vamoş0Ştefan M. Şoltuz1Maria Crăciun2Tiberiu Popoviciu Institute of Numerical Analysis, Romanian AcademyTiberiu Popoviciu Institute of Numerical Analysis, Romanian AcademyTiberiu Popoviciu Institute of Numerical Analysis, Romanian AcademyThe stochastic processes of finite length defined by recurrence relations request additional relations specifying the first terms of the process analogously to the initial conditions for the differential equations. As a general rule, in time series theory one analyzes only stochastic processes of infinite length which need no such initial conditions and their properties are less difficult to be determined. In this paper we compare the properties of the order 1 autoregressive processes of finite and infinite length and we prove that the time series length has an important influence mainly if the serial correlation is significant. These different properties can manifest themselves as transient effects produced when a time series is numerically generated. We show that for an order 1 autoregressive process the transient behavior can be avoided if the first term is a Gaussian random variable with standard deviation equal to that of the theoretical infinite process and not to that of the white noise innovation.https://www.ictp.acad.ro/jnaat/journal/article/view/869autoregressive processspectral analysistime series
spellingShingle Călin Vamoş
Ştefan M. Şoltuz
Maria Crăciun
Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length
Journal of Numerical Analysis and Approximation Theory
autoregressive process
spectral analysis
time series
title Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length
title_full Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length
title_fullStr Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length
title_full_unstemmed Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length
title_short Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length
title_sort order 1 autoregressive process of finite length
topic autoregressive process
spectral analysis
time series
url https://www.ictp.acad.ro/jnaat/journal/article/view/869
work_keys_str_mv AT calinvamos order1autoregressiveprocessoffinitelength
AT stefanmsoltuz order1autoregressiveprocessoffinitelength
AT mariacraciun order1autoregressiveprocessoffinitelength