Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United States
Impact of climate change on crop growth is dynamic and difficult to quantify due to heterogeneity of the associated effects and their interactions within the Earth system. The main objective of this study is to establish how future climate change might affect agriculture, through an assessment of te...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Polish Academy of Sciences
2018-06-01
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| Series: | Journal of Water and Land Development |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jwld.2018.37.issue-1/jwld-2018-0029/jwld-2018-0029.xml?format=INT |
| _version_ | 1797721200436183040 |
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| author | Magugu John W. Feng Song Huang Qiuqiong Zhang Yongjun West Grant H. |
| author_facet | Magugu John W. Feng Song Huang Qiuqiong Zhang Yongjun West Grant H. |
| author_sort | Magugu John W. |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Impact of climate change on crop growth is dynamic and difficult to quantify due to heterogeneity of the associated effects and their interactions within the Earth system. The main objective of this study is to establish how future climate change might affect agriculture, through an assessment of temperature and precipitation driven parameters. These include percentage number of rainy days with extreme precipitation, percentage of extreme precipitation relative to wet days, first fall frost days, last spring frost days, growing degree days, growing season length and the total precipitation. Results show modest increase in total precipitation with a slight increase in extreme precipitation, representing up to 2.2% increase by 2060 under representative concentration pathway (RCP 8.5) scenario. There would be late first fall frost days, early last spring frost days and increased growing season length by up to 2 weeks in 2060. The growing degree days are projected to increase under all scenarios for all crops, with cotton showing the largest increase of up to 37% relative to the baseline period. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T09:30:25Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-778d48a5138341898705a10bc50ca87d |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2083-4535 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T09:30:25Z |
| publishDate | 2018-06-01 |
| publisher | Polish Academy of Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Water and Land Development |
| spelling | doaj.art-778d48a5138341898705a10bc50ca87d2023-09-02T13:54:54ZengPolish Academy of SciencesJournal of Water and Land Development2083-45352018-06-013719711210.2478/jwld-2018-0029jwld-2018-0029Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United StatesMagugu John W.0Feng Song1Huang Qiuqiong2Zhang Yongjun3West Grant H.4University of Arkansas, 615 N Court St, 72701Carlisle, USAUniversity of Arkansas, 615 N Court St, 72701Carlisle, USAUniversity of Arkansas, 615 N Court St, 72701Carlisle, USAUniversity of Arkansas, 615 N Court St, 72701Carlisle, USAUniversity of Arkansas, 615 N Court St, 72701Carlisle, USAImpact of climate change on crop growth is dynamic and difficult to quantify due to heterogeneity of the associated effects and their interactions within the Earth system. The main objective of this study is to establish how future climate change might affect agriculture, through an assessment of temperature and precipitation driven parameters. These include percentage number of rainy days with extreme precipitation, percentage of extreme precipitation relative to wet days, first fall frost days, last spring frost days, growing degree days, growing season length and the total precipitation. Results show modest increase in total precipitation with a slight increase in extreme precipitation, representing up to 2.2% increase by 2060 under representative concentration pathway (RCP 8.5) scenario. There would be late first fall frost days, early last spring frost days and increased growing season length by up to 2 weeks in 2060. The growing degree days are projected to increase under all scenarios for all crops, with cotton showing the largest increase of up to 37% relative to the baseline period.http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jwld.2018.37.issue-1/jwld-2018-0029/jwld-2018-0029.xml?format=INTagricultureclimate changeclimate scenariosprecipitationtemperature |
| spellingShingle | Magugu John W. Feng Song Huang Qiuqiong Zhang Yongjun West Grant H. Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United States Journal of Water and Land Development agriculture climate change climate scenarios precipitation temperature |
| title | Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United States |
| title_full | Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United States |
| title_fullStr | Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United States |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United States |
| title_short | Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United States |
| title_sort | analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern arkansas united states |
| topic | agriculture climate change climate scenarios precipitation temperature |
| url | http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jwld.2018.37.issue-1/jwld-2018-0029/jwld-2018-0029.xml?format=INT |
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