USING R TO TEACH SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT

This article shows, using R software, how to seasonally adjust a time series using the X13-ARIMA-SEATS program and the seasonal package developed by Christoph Sax. In addition to presenting step-by-step seasonal adjustment, the article also explores how to analyze the program output and how to forec...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pedro Costa Ferreira, Daiane Marcolino de Mattos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro 2017-03-01
Series:Cadernos do IME: Série Estatística
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.e-publicacoes.uerj.br/index.php/cadest/article/view/25077/19993
Description
Summary:This article shows, using R software, how to seasonally adjust a time series using the X13-ARIMA-SEATS program and the seasonal package developed by Christoph Sax. In addition to presenting step-by-step seasonal adjustment, the article also explores how to analyze the program output and how to forecast the original and seasonally adjusted time series. A case study was proposed using the Brazilian industrial production. It was verified that the effect of Carnival, Easter and working days improved the seasonal adjustment when treated by the model.
ISSN:1413-9022
2317-4536