Of Mice and Fungi: <i>Coccidioides</i> spp. Distribution Models

The continuous increase of Coccidioidomycosis cases requires reliable detection methods of the causal agent, <i>Coccidioides</i> spp., in its natural environment. This has proven challenging because of our limited knowledge on the distribution of this soil-dwelling fungus. Knowing the pa...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pamela Ocampo-Chavira, Ricardo Eaton-Gonzalez, Meritxell Riquelme
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-11-01
Series:Journal of Fungi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2309-608X/6/4/320
_version_ 1797546464792018944
author Pamela Ocampo-Chavira
Ricardo Eaton-Gonzalez
Meritxell Riquelme
author_facet Pamela Ocampo-Chavira
Ricardo Eaton-Gonzalez
Meritxell Riquelme
author_sort Pamela Ocampo-Chavira
collection DOAJ
description The continuous increase of Coccidioidomycosis cases requires reliable detection methods of the causal agent, <i>Coccidioides</i> spp., in its natural environment. This has proven challenging because of our limited knowledge on the distribution of this soil-dwelling fungus. Knowing the pathogen’s geographic distribution and its relationship with the environment is crucial to identify potential areas of risk and to prevent disease outbreaks. The maximum entropy (Maxent) algorithm, Geographic Information System (GIS) and bioclimatic variables were combined to obtain current and future potential distribution models (DMs) of <i>Coccidioides</i> and its putative rodent reservoirs for Arizona, California and Baja California. We revealed that <i>Coccidioides</i> DMs constructed with presence records from one state are not well suited to predict distribution in another state, supporting the existence of distinct phylogeographic populations of <i>Coccidioides</i>. A great correlation between <i>Coccidioides</i> DMs and United States counties with high Coccidioidomycosis incidence was found. Remarkably, under future scenarios of climate change and high concentration of greenhouse gases, the probability of habitat suitability for <i>Coccidioides</i> increased. Overlap analysis between the DMs of rodents and <i>Coccidioides</i>, identified <i>Neotoma lepida</i> as one of the predominant co-occurring species in all three states. Considering rodents DMs would allow to implement better surveillance programs to monitor disease spread.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T14:29:54Z
format Article
id doaj.art-77b22680256e4984807f1f9e67f53ecc
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2309-608X
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T14:29:54Z
publishDate 2020-11-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Journal of Fungi
spelling doaj.art-77b22680256e4984807f1f9e67f53ecc2023-11-20T22:40:23ZengMDPI AGJournal of Fungi2309-608X2020-11-016432010.3390/jof6040320Of Mice and Fungi: <i>Coccidioides</i> spp. Distribution ModelsPamela Ocampo-Chavira0Ricardo Eaton-Gonzalez1Meritxell Riquelme2Department of Microbiology, Centro de Investigación Científica y Educación Superior de Ensenada (CICESE), Ctra. Ensenada-Tijuana No. 3918, Ensenada, Baja California 22860, MexicoAcademic Unit of Ensenada, Universidad Tecnológica de Tijuana, Ctra. a la Bufadora KM. 1, Maneadero Parte Alta, Ensenada, Baja California 22790, MexicoDepartment of Microbiology, Centro de Investigación Científica y Educación Superior de Ensenada (CICESE), Ctra. Ensenada-Tijuana No. 3918, Ensenada, Baja California 22860, MexicoThe continuous increase of Coccidioidomycosis cases requires reliable detection methods of the causal agent, <i>Coccidioides</i> spp., in its natural environment. This has proven challenging because of our limited knowledge on the distribution of this soil-dwelling fungus. Knowing the pathogen’s geographic distribution and its relationship with the environment is crucial to identify potential areas of risk and to prevent disease outbreaks. The maximum entropy (Maxent) algorithm, Geographic Information System (GIS) and bioclimatic variables were combined to obtain current and future potential distribution models (DMs) of <i>Coccidioides</i> and its putative rodent reservoirs for Arizona, California and Baja California. We revealed that <i>Coccidioides</i> DMs constructed with presence records from one state are not well suited to predict distribution in another state, supporting the existence of distinct phylogeographic populations of <i>Coccidioides</i>. A great correlation between <i>Coccidioides</i> DMs and United States counties with high Coccidioidomycosis incidence was found. Remarkably, under future scenarios of climate change and high concentration of greenhouse gases, the probability of habitat suitability for <i>Coccidioides</i> increased. Overlap analysis between the DMs of rodents and <i>Coccidioides</i>, identified <i>Neotoma lepida</i> as one of the predominant co-occurring species in all three states. Considering rodents DMs would allow to implement better surveillance programs to monitor disease spread.https://www.mdpi.com/2309-608X/6/4/320<i>Coccidioides</i> spp.distribution modelingMaxentGISbiological variables
spellingShingle Pamela Ocampo-Chavira
Ricardo Eaton-Gonzalez
Meritxell Riquelme
Of Mice and Fungi: <i>Coccidioides</i> spp. Distribution Models
Journal of Fungi
<i>Coccidioides</i> spp.
distribution modeling
Maxent
GIS
biological variables
title Of Mice and Fungi: <i>Coccidioides</i> spp. Distribution Models
title_full Of Mice and Fungi: <i>Coccidioides</i> spp. Distribution Models
title_fullStr Of Mice and Fungi: <i>Coccidioides</i> spp. Distribution Models
title_full_unstemmed Of Mice and Fungi: <i>Coccidioides</i> spp. Distribution Models
title_short Of Mice and Fungi: <i>Coccidioides</i> spp. Distribution Models
title_sort of mice and fungi i coccidioides i spp distribution models
topic <i>Coccidioides</i> spp.
distribution modeling
Maxent
GIS
biological variables
url https://www.mdpi.com/2309-608X/6/4/320
work_keys_str_mv AT pamelaocampochavira ofmiceandfungiicoccidioidesisppdistributionmodels
AT ricardoeatongonzalez ofmiceandfungiicoccidioidesisppdistributionmodels
AT meritxellriquelme ofmiceandfungiicoccidioidesisppdistributionmodels