An Advanced Forest Fire Danger Forecasting System: Integration of Remote Sensing and Historical Sources of Ignition Data

Forest fire is one of the major natural hazards/disasters in Canada and many ecosystems across the world. Here, our objective was to enhance the performance of an existing solely remote sensing-based forest fire danger forecasting system (FFDFS), and its implementation over the northern region of th...

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Main Authors: Masoud Abdollahi, Tanvir Islam, Anil Gupta, Quazi K. Hassan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-06-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/6/923
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author Masoud Abdollahi
Tanvir Islam
Anil Gupta
Quazi K. Hassan
author_facet Masoud Abdollahi
Tanvir Islam
Anil Gupta
Quazi K. Hassan
author_sort Masoud Abdollahi
collection DOAJ
description Forest fire is one of the major natural hazards/disasters in Canada and many ecosystems across the world. Here, our objective was to enhance the performance of an existing solely remote sensing-based forest fire danger forecasting system (FFDFS), and its implementation over the northern region of the Canadian province of Alberta. The modified FFDFS was comprised of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)-derived daily surface temperature (Ts) and precipitable water (PW), and 8-day composite of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and normalized difference water index (NDWI), where we assumed that cloud-contaminant pixels would reduce the risk of fire occurrences. In addition, we generated ignition cause-specific static fire danger (SFD) maps derived using the historical human- and lightning-caused fires during the period 1961–2014. Upon incorporating different combinations of the generated SFD maps with the modified FFDFS, we evaluated their performances against actual fire spots during the 2009–2011 fire seasons. Our findings revealed that our proposed modifications were quite effective and the modified FFDFS captured almost the same amount of fires as the original FFDFS, i.e., about 77% of the detected fires on an average in the top three fire danger classes of extremely high, very high, and high categories, where about 50% of the study area fell under low and moderate danger classes. Additionally, we observed that the combination of modified FFDFS and human-caused SFD map (road buffer) demonstrated the most effective results in fire detection, i.e., 82% of detected fires on an average in the top three fire danger classes, where about 46% of the study area fell under the moderate and low danger categories. We believe that our developments would be helpful to manage the forest fire in order to reduce its overall impact.
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spelling doaj.art-77d3e14586b24d4e8d43eca64520bcd92022-12-22T04:06:39ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922018-06-0110692310.3390/rs10060923rs10060923An Advanced Forest Fire Danger Forecasting System: Integration of Remote Sensing and Historical Sources of Ignition DataMasoud Abdollahi0Tanvir Islam1Anil Gupta2Quazi K. Hassan3Department of Geomatics Engineering, Schulich School of Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Dr. NW, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, CanadaNASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, USADepartment of Geomatics Engineering, Schulich School of Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Dr. NW, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, CanadaDepartment of Geomatics Engineering, Schulich School of Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Dr. NW, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, CanadaForest fire is one of the major natural hazards/disasters in Canada and many ecosystems across the world. Here, our objective was to enhance the performance of an existing solely remote sensing-based forest fire danger forecasting system (FFDFS), and its implementation over the northern region of the Canadian province of Alberta. The modified FFDFS was comprised of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)-derived daily surface temperature (Ts) and precipitable water (PW), and 8-day composite of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and normalized difference water index (NDWI), where we assumed that cloud-contaminant pixels would reduce the risk of fire occurrences. In addition, we generated ignition cause-specific static fire danger (SFD) maps derived using the historical human- and lightning-caused fires during the period 1961–2014. Upon incorporating different combinations of the generated SFD maps with the modified FFDFS, we evaluated their performances against actual fire spots during the 2009–2011 fire seasons. Our findings revealed that our proposed modifications were quite effective and the modified FFDFS captured almost the same amount of fires as the original FFDFS, i.e., about 77% of the detected fires on an average in the top three fire danger classes of extremely high, very high, and high categories, where about 50% of the study area fell under low and moderate danger classes. Additionally, we observed that the combination of modified FFDFS and human-caused SFD map (road buffer) demonstrated the most effective results in fire detection, i.e., 82% of detected fires on an average in the top three fire danger classes, where about 46% of the study area fell under the moderate and low danger categories. We believe that our developments would be helpful to manage the forest fire in order to reduce its overall impact.http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/6/923human-caused static fire danger maplightning-caused static fire danger mapnormalized difference vegetation indexnormalized difference water indexprecipitable watersurface temperature
spellingShingle Masoud Abdollahi
Tanvir Islam
Anil Gupta
Quazi K. Hassan
An Advanced Forest Fire Danger Forecasting System: Integration of Remote Sensing and Historical Sources of Ignition Data
Remote Sensing
human-caused static fire danger map
lightning-caused static fire danger map
normalized difference vegetation index
normalized difference water index
precipitable water
surface temperature
title An Advanced Forest Fire Danger Forecasting System: Integration of Remote Sensing and Historical Sources of Ignition Data
title_full An Advanced Forest Fire Danger Forecasting System: Integration of Remote Sensing and Historical Sources of Ignition Data
title_fullStr An Advanced Forest Fire Danger Forecasting System: Integration of Remote Sensing and Historical Sources of Ignition Data
title_full_unstemmed An Advanced Forest Fire Danger Forecasting System: Integration of Remote Sensing and Historical Sources of Ignition Data
title_short An Advanced Forest Fire Danger Forecasting System: Integration of Remote Sensing and Historical Sources of Ignition Data
title_sort advanced forest fire danger forecasting system integration of remote sensing and historical sources of ignition data
topic human-caused static fire danger map
lightning-caused static fire danger map
normalized difference vegetation index
normalized difference water index
precipitable water
surface temperature
url http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/6/923
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