Response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the Tibetan Plateau

Located in the Tibetan Plateau, the upstream regions of the Mekong River (UM) and the Salween River (US) are very sensitive to climate change. The ‘VIC-glacier‘ model, which links a degree-day glacier algorithm with variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model, was employed and the model parameters we...

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Main Authors: Yueguan Zhang, Zhenchun Hao, Chong-Yu Xu, Xide Lai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IWA Publishing 2020-04-01
Series:Hydrology Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hr.iwaponline.com/content/51/2/272
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author Yueguan Zhang
Zhenchun Hao
Chong-Yu Xu
Xide Lai
author_facet Yueguan Zhang
Zhenchun Hao
Chong-Yu Xu
Xide Lai
author_sort Yueguan Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Located in the Tibetan Plateau, the upstream regions of the Mekong River (UM) and the Salween River (US) are very sensitive to climate change. The ‘VIC-glacier‘ model, which links a degree-day glacier algorithm with variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model, was employed and the model parameters were calibrated on observed streamflow, glacier mass balance and MODIS snowcover data. Results indicate that: (1) glacier-melt runoff exhibits a significant increase in both areas by the Mann–Kendall test. Snowmelt runoff shows an increasing trend in the UM, while the US is characterized by a decreasing tendency. In the UM, the snowmelt runoff peak shifts from June in the baseline period 1964–1990 to May for both the 1990s and 2000s; (2) rainfall runoff was considered as the first dominant factor driving changes of river discharge, which could be responsible for over 84% in total runoff trend over the two regions. The glacial runoff illustrates the secondary influence on the total runoff tendency; (3) although the hydrological regime is rain dominated in these two basins, the glacier compensation effect in these regions is obvious, especially in dry years.
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spelling doaj.art-780d6f9957a442cd9365b388ae21e8c42022-12-22T01:46:20ZengIWA PublishingHydrology Research1998-95632224-79552020-04-0151227228910.2166/nh.2019.075075Response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the Tibetan PlateauYueguan Zhang0Zhenchun Hao1Chong-Yu Xu2Xide Lai3 Department of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Xihua University, Chengdu 610039, China State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo 0316, Norway Department of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Xihua University, Chengdu 610039, China Located in the Tibetan Plateau, the upstream regions of the Mekong River (UM) and the Salween River (US) are very sensitive to climate change. The ‘VIC-glacier‘ model, which links a degree-day glacier algorithm with variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model, was employed and the model parameters were calibrated on observed streamflow, glacier mass balance and MODIS snowcover data. Results indicate that: (1) glacier-melt runoff exhibits a significant increase in both areas by the Mann–Kendall test. Snowmelt runoff shows an increasing trend in the UM, while the US is characterized by a decreasing tendency. In the UM, the snowmelt runoff peak shifts from June in the baseline period 1964–1990 to May for both the 1990s and 2000s; (2) rainfall runoff was considered as the first dominant factor driving changes of river discharge, which could be responsible for over 84% in total runoff trend over the two regions. The glacial runoff illustrates the secondary influence on the total runoff tendency; (3) although the hydrological regime is rain dominated in these two basins, the glacier compensation effect in these regions is obvious, especially in dry years.http://hr.iwaponline.com/content/51/2/272climate changeglacial runoffsnowmelt runofftibetan plateauvic-glacier model
spellingShingle Yueguan Zhang
Zhenchun Hao
Chong-Yu Xu
Xide Lai
Response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the Tibetan Plateau
Hydrology Research
climate change
glacial runoff
snowmelt runoff
tibetan plateau
vic-glacier model
title Response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the Tibetan Plateau
title_full Response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the Tibetan Plateau
title_fullStr Response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the Tibetan Plateau
title_full_unstemmed Response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the Tibetan Plateau
title_short Response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the Tibetan Plateau
title_sort response of melt water and rainfall runoff to climate change and their roles in controlling streamflow changes of the two upstream basins over the tibetan plateau
topic climate change
glacial runoff
snowmelt runoff
tibetan plateau
vic-glacier model
url http://hr.iwaponline.com/content/51/2/272
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