The Linkage between Oil and Non-Oil GDP in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia is one of the world’s major producers of oil. The Saudi Government has launched its vision for the coming decade: Saudi Vision 2030 (also known as 2030 Vision). Saudi Vision 2030 aims to diversify economic income and be independent of oil revenue. The focus of Saudi Vision 2030 is incre...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Sami Alabdulwahab
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/9/4/202
_version_ 1797505329304436736
author Sami Alabdulwahab
author_facet Sami Alabdulwahab
author_sort Sami Alabdulwahab
collection DOAJ
description Saudi Arabia is one of the world’s major producers of oil. The Saudi Government has launched its vision for the coming decade: Saudi Vision 2030 (also known as 2030 Vision). Saudi Vision 2030 aims to diversify economic income and be independent of oil revenue. The focus of Saudi Vision 2030 is increasing the role of the non-oil GDP in the economy. In this study, I tried to examine the link between oil and non-oil GDP in Saudi Arabia. I used autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration, the most common tool used to examine linkages among variables. My ARDL results confirm the long-term cointegration between non-oil GDP and oil rent, thus implying that oil rent-seeking strategies still exist in Saudi Arabia. The short-term dynamics confirmed the impact of oil rent over the non-oil GDP. The ARDL results led to analyses of asymmetric effects. The NARDL model estimated and confirmed the symmetric effect of the oil rent on non-oil GDP. These results demonstrate the challenges in diversifying Saudi Arabia’s income.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T04:17:04Z
format Article
id doaj.art-7833645c9e374811b034437a33b71f9b
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2227-7099
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T04:17:04Z
publishDate 2021-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Economies
spelling doaj.art-7833645c9e374811b034437a33b71f9b2023-11-23T07:59:21ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992021-12-019420210.3390/economies9040202The Linkage between Oil and Non-Oil GDP in Saudi ArabiaSami Alabdulwahab0Department of Economics, College of Business Administration, King Faisal University, Al-Ahas 31982, Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia is one of the world’s major producers of oil. The Saudi Government has launched its vision for the coming decade: Saudi Vision 2030 (also known as 2030 Vision). Saudi Vision 2030 aims to diversify economic income and be independent of oil revenue. The focus of Saudi Vision 2030 is increasing the role of the non-oil GDP in the economy. In this study, I tried to examine the link between oil and non-oil GDP in Saudi Arabia. I used autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration, the most common tool used to examine linkages among variables. My ARDL results confirm the long-term cointegration between non-oil GDP and oil rent, thus implying that oil rent-seeking strategies still exist in Saudi Arabia. The short-term dynamics confirmed the impact of oil rent over the non-oil GDP. The ARDL results led to analyses of asymmetric effects. The NARDL model estimated and confirmed the symmetric effect of the oil rent on non-oil GDP. These results demonstrate the challenges in diversifying Saudi Arabia’s income.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/9/4/202ARDL cointegrationNARDLnon-oil GDPSaudi Arabia
spellingShingle Sami Alabdulwahab
The Linkage between Oil and Non-Oil GDP in Saudi Arabia
Economies
ARDL cointegration
NARDL
non-oil GDP
Saudi Arabia
title The Linkage between Oil and Non-Oil GDP in Saudi Arabia
title_full The Linkage between Oil and Non-Oil GDP in Saudi Arabia
title_fullStr The Linkage between Oil and Non-Oil GDP in Saudi Arabia
title_full_unstemmed The Linkage between Oil and Non-Oil GDP in Saudi Arabia
title_short The Linkage between Oil and Non-Oil GDP in Saudi Arabia
title_sort linkage between oil and non oil gdp in saudi arabia
topic ARDL cointegration
NARDL
non-oil GDP
Saudi Arabia
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/9/4/202
work_keys_str_mv AT samialabdulwahab thelinkagebetweenoilandnonoilgdpinsaudiarabia
AT samialabdulwahab linkagebetweenoilandnonoilgdpinsaudiarabia