Application of Machine Learning to Ranking Predictors of Anti-VEGF Response

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a heterogeneous disease affecting the macula of individuals and is a cause of irreversible vision loss. Patients with neovascular AMD (nAMD) are candidates for the anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) treatment, designed to regress the growth...

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Main Authors: Janan Arslan, Kurt K. Benke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-11-01
Series:Life
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/12/11/1926
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author Janan Arslan
Kurt K. Benke
author_facet Janan Arslan
Kurt K. Benke
author_sort Janan Arslan
collection DOAJ
description Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a heterogeneous disease affecting the macula of individuals and is a cause of irreversible vision loss. Patients with neovascular AMD (nAMD) are candidates for the anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) treatment, designed to regress the growth of abnormal blood vessels in the eye. Some patients fail to maintain vision despite treatment. This study aimed to develop a prediction model based on features weighted in order of importance with respect to their impact on visual acuity (VA). Evaluations included an assessment of clinical, lifestyle, and demographic factors from patients that were treated over a period of two years. The methods included mixed-effects and relative importance modelling, and models were tested against model selection criteria, diagnostic and assumption checks, and forecasting errors. The most important predictors of an anti-VEGF response were the baseline VA of the treated eye, the time (in weeks), treatment quantity, and the treated eye. The model also ranked the impact of other variables, such as intra-retinal fluid, haemorrhage, pigment epithelium detachment, treatment drug, baseline VA of the untreated eye, and various lifestyle and demographic factors. The results identified variables that could be targeted for further investigation in support of personalised treatments based on patient data.
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spelling doaj.art-788d3e09d8b14d2ebefcd95b0d6bed2f2023-11-24T08:58:10ZengMDPI AGLife2075-17292022-11-011211192610.3390/life12111926Application of Machine Learning to Ranking Predictors of Anti-VEGF ResponseJanan Arslan0Kurt K. Benke1Sorbonne Université, Institut du Cerveau—Paris Brain Institute—ICM, CNRS, Inria, Inserm, AP-HP, Hôpital de la Pitié Salpêtrière, F-75013 Paris, FranceSchool of Engineering, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3010, AustraliaAge-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a heterogeneous disease affecting the macula of individuals and is a cause of irreversible vision loss. Patients with neovascular AMD (nAMD) are candidates for the anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) treatment, designed to regress the growth of abnormal blood vessels in the eye. Some patients fail to maintain vision despite treatment. This study aimed to develop a prediction model based on features weighted in order of importance with respect to their impact on visual acuity (VA). Evaluations included an assessment of clinical, lifestyle, and demographic factors from patients that were treated over a period of two years. The methods included mixed-effects and relative importance modelling, and models were tested against model selection criteria, diagnostic and assumption checks, and forecasting errors. The most important predictors of an anti-VEGF response were the baseline VA of the treated eye, the time (in weeks), treatment quantity, and the treated eye. The model also ranked the impact of other variables, such as intra-retinal fluid, haemorrhage, pigment epithelium detachment, treatment drug, baseline VA of the untreated eye, and various lifestyle and demographic factors. The results identified variables that could be targeted for further investigation in support of personalised treatments based on patient data.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/12/11/1926age-related macular degenerationanti-VEGF treatmentexplainabilitystatistical modelling
spellingShingle Janan Arslan
Kurt K. Benke
Application of Machine Learning to Ranking Predictors of Anti-VEGF Response
Life
age-related macular degeneration
anti-VEGF treatment
explainability
statistical modelling
title Application of Machine Learning to Ranking Predictors of Anti-VEGF Response
title_full Application of Machine Learning to Ranking Predictors of Anti-VEGF Response
title_fullStr Application of Machine Learning to Ranking Predictors of Anti-VEGF Response
title_full_unstemmed Application of Machine Learning to Ranking Predictors of Anti-VEGF Response
title_short Application of Machine Learning to Ranking Predictors of Anti-VEGF Response
title_sort application of machine learning to ranking predictors of anti vegf response
topic age-related macular degeneration
anti-VEGF treatment
explainability
statistical modelling
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/12/11/1926
work_keys_str_mv AT jananarslan applicationofmachinelearningtorankingpredictorsofantivegfresponse
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