Examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in European OECD countries (2011–2020)

This study examined the impact of public debt on private consumption in 26 European Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries from 2011 to 2020. Analyzing data from OECD, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund reports, we employed various statistical methods...

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Main Authors: Fisnik Morina, Valdrin Misiri, Shpejtim Alijaj
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2024-02-01
Series:Quantitative Finance and Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/QFE.2024004?viewType=HTML
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author Fisnik Morina
Valdrin Misiri
Shpejtim Alijaj
author_facet Fisnik Morina
Valdrin Misiri
Shpejtim Alijaj
author_sort Fisnik Morina
collection DOAJ
description This study examined the impact of public debt on private consumption in 26 European Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries from 2011 to 2020. Analyzing data from OECD, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund reports, we employed various statistical methods, including correlation analysis, linear regression, fixed effect, random effect, and the Generalized Method of Moments model via the Arellano-Bond estimation approach. Our findings indicated that public debt, foreign direct investments, inflation, and gross domestic product (GDP) growth positively influence private consumption, while gross fixed capital formation and exports of goods and services have a negative impact. The study underscores the need for careful consideration of the repercussions of public debt on citizens' daily lives, especially in terms of private consumption, emphasizing the crucial need for policymakers to consider the delicate balance between public debt management and sustainable economic growth in OECD countries for shaping effective economic policies that foster responsible debt management to support long-term economic development.
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spelling doaj.art-7896d7687cd94bf4ab3a2208eed534642024-04-18T01:44:24ZengAIMS PressQuantitative Finance and Economics2573-01342024-02-01817510210.3934/QFE.2024004Examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in European OECD countries (2011–2020)Fisnik Morina0Valdrin Misiri1Shpejtim Alijaj 21. Department of Business Management, Faculty of Business, University "Haxhi Zeka", Peja, Kosovo1. Department of Business Management, Faculty of Business, University "Haxhi Zeka", Peja, Kosovo2. Department of Accounting and Finance, Faculty of Business, University "Haxhi Zeka", Peja, KosovoThis study examined the impact of public debt on private consumption in 26 European Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries from 2011 to 2020. Analyzing data from OECD, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund reports, we employed various statistical methods, including correlation analysis, linear regression, fixed effect, random effect, and the Generalized Method of Moments model via the Arellano-Bond estimation approach. Our findings indicated that public debt, foreign direct investments, inflation, and gross domestic product (GDP) growth positively influence private consumption, while gross fixed capital formation and exports of goods and services have a negative impact. The study underscores the need for careful consideration of the repercussions of public debt on citizens' daily lives, especially in terms of private consumption, emphasizing the crucial need for policymakers to consider the delicate balance between public debt management and sustainable economic growth in OECD countries for shaping effective economic policies that foster responsible debt management to support long-term economic development.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/QFE.2024004?viewType=HTMLpublic debtprivate consumptioninvestmentsinflationeconomic growth
spellingShingle Fisnik Morina
Valdrin Misiri
Shpejtim Alijaj
Examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in European OECD countries (2011–2020)
Quantitative Finance and Economics
public debt
private consumption
investments
inflation
economic growth
title Examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in European OECD countries (2011–2020)
title_full Examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in European OECD countries (2011–2020)
title_fullStr Examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in European OECD countries (2011–2020)
title_full_unstemmed Examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in European OECD countries (2011–2020)
title_short Examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in European OECD countries (2011–2020)
title_sort examining the relationship between public debt and private consumption in european oecd countries 2011 2020
topic public debt
private consumption
investments
inflation
economic growth
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/QFE.2024004?viewType=HTML
work_keys_str_mv AT fisnikmorina examiningtherelationshipbetweenpublicdebtandprivateconsumptionineuropeanoecdcountries20112020
AT valdrinmisiri examiningtherelationshipbetweenpublicdebtandprivateconsumptionineuropeanoecdcountries20112020
AT shpejtimalijaj examiningtherelationshipbetweenpublicdebtandprivateconsumptionineuropeanoecdcountries20112020