First-passage-time problem for tracers in turbulent flows applied to virus spreading

We study the spreading of viruses, such as SARS-CoV-2, by airborne aerosols, via a first-passage-time problem for Lagrangian tracers that are advected by a turbulent flow: By direct numerical simulations of the three-dimensional (3D) incompressible Navier-Stokes equation, we obtain the time t_{R} at...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Akhilesh Kumar Verma, Akshay Bhatnagar, Dhrubaditya Mitra, Rahul Pandit
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Physical Society 2020-08-01
Series:Physical Review Research
Online Access:http://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.033239
Description
Summary:We study the spreading of viruses, such as SARS-CoV-2, by airborne aerosols, via a first-passage-time problem for Lagrangian tracers that are advected by a turbulent flow: By direct numerical simulations of the three-dimensional (3D) incompressible Navier-Stokes equation, we obtain the time t_{R} at which a tracer, initially at the origin of a sphere of radius R, crosses the surface of the sphere for the first time. We obtain the probability distribution function P(R,t_{R}) and show that it displays two qualitatively different behaviors: (a) for R≪L_{I}, P(R,t_{R}) has a power-law tail ∼t_{R}^{−α}, with the exponent α=4 and L_{I} the integral scale of the turbulent flow; (b) for L_{I}≲R, the tail of P(R,t_{R}) decays exponentially. We develop models that allow us to obtain these asymptotic behaviors analytically. We show how to use P(R,t_{R}) to develop social-distancing guidelines for the mitigation of the spreading of airborne aerosols with viruses such as SARS-CoV-2.
ISSN:2643-1564