Modelling the medium-term dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in England in the Omicron era

Modelling the medium-term dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in England in the Omicron era

This mathematical modelling study projects the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in England until the end of 2022 assuming that the Omicron BA.2 sublineage remains dominant. They show that booster vaccination was highly effective in mitigating severe outcomes and that future dynamics will depend greatly on ass...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Rosanna C. Barnard, Nicholas G. Davies, Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 working group, Mark Jit, W. John Edmunds
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	Nature Portfolio 2022-08-01
Series:	Nature Communications
Online Access:	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32404-y

Similar Items

The contribution of pre-symptomatic infection to the transmission dynamics of COVID-2019 [version 1; peer review: 2 approved]
by: Yang Liu, et al.
Published: (2020-04-01)

Comparing human and model-based forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland.
by: Nikos I Bosse, et al.
Published: (2022-09-01)

The impact of COVID-19 vaccination in prisons in England and Wales: a metapopulation model
by: Ciara V. McCarthy, et al.
Published: (2022-05-01)

Discipline working platform mode for anti-novel coronavirus Omicron in designated hospital（Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine）
by: Writing Group of Public Discipline Working Mode in designated hospitals for COVID-19
Published: (2022-04-01)

Clinical progression, disease severity, and mortality among adults hospitalized with COVID-19 caused by the Omicron and Delta SARS-CoV-2 variants: A population-based, matched cohort study.
by: COVID-19 Omicron Delta study group
Published: (2023-01-01)

Treatment of patients with severe basic diseases combined with infection of novel coronavirus Omicron variant
by: Diagnosis and Treatment of COVID-19 from Expert Group of Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine
Published: (2022-04-01)

A minimal common outcome measure set for COVID-19 clinical research
by: WHO Working Group on the Clinical Characterisation and Management of COVID-19 infection
Published: (2020)

Correction: The local burden of disease during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in England: estimation using different data sources from changing surveillance practices
by: Emily S. Nightingale, et al.
Published: (2022-06-01)

The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements
by: Quaife, M, et al.
Published: (2020)

Changes in social contacts in England during the COVID-19 pandemic between March 2020 and March 2021 as measured by the CoMix survey: A repeated cross-sectional study.
by: Amy Gimma, et al.
Published: (2022-03-01)

Concordance and generalization of an AI algorithm with real-world clinical data in the pre-omicron and omicron era
by: Gulsen Yilmaz, et al.
Published: (2024-02-01)

Expression of Concern on “The Comparative Analysis of Two RT-qPCR Kits for Detecting SARS-CoV-2 Reveals a Higher Risk of False-Negative Diagnosis in Samples with High Quantification Cycles for Viral and Internal Genes”
by: Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology
Published: (2023-01-01)

Thanks to authors, reviewers and readers
by: Microbes and Infectious Diseases Editorial Board Members
Published: (2022-10-01)

Relative role of border restrictions, case finding and contact tracing in controlling SARS-CoV-2 in the presence of undetected transmission: a mathematical modelling study
by: Rachael Pung, et al.
Published: (2023-03-01)

Digital era local government in England
by: Nicholls, T
Published: (2016)

New England furniture : the colonial era /
by: 371609 Jobe, Brock, et al.
Published: (1984)

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 positivity in neonates born to coronavirus disease 2019-positive mothers: A retrospective data analysis
by: Shailesh Pande, et al.
Published: (2023-01-01)

Surveillance of Antibacterial Usage during the COVID-19 Pandemic in England, 2020
by: Amelia Andrews, et al.
Published: (2021-07-01)

Understanding Omicron: Transmissibility, immune evasion and antiviral intervention
by: Markus Hoffmann, et al.
Published: (2022-05-01)

Real world effectiveness of tixagevimab/cilgavimab (Evusheld) in the Omicron era
by: Benjamin Chen, et al.
Published: (2023-01-01)

Real world effectiveness of tixagevimab/cilgavimab (Evusheld) in the Omicron era.
by: Benjamin Chen, et al.
Published: (2023-01-01)

Dynamics of competing SARS-CoV-2 variants during the Omicron epidemic in England
by: Oliver Eales, et al.
Published: (2022-07-01)

COVID‐19 and education: restructuring after the pandemic
by: Bellini, MI, et al.
Published: (2021)

Detection of High Level of Co-Infection and the Emergence of Novel SARS CoV-2 Delta-Omicron and Omicron-Omicron Recombinants in the Epidemiological Surveillance of Andalusia
by: Javier Perez-Florido, et al.
Published: (2023-01-01)

Modelling the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on workplace transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the home-delivery sector.
by: Carl A Whitfield, et al.
Published: (2023-01-01)

Dynamics of water-mediated interaction effects on the stability and transmission of Omicron
by: Naila Zaman, et al.
Published: (2023-11-01)

Genomic Epidemiology Unveil the Omicron Transmission Dynamics in Rome, Italy
by: Maria Francesconi, et al.
Published: (2022-09-01)

Understanding the immunological landscape of England during SARS-CoV2 Omicron variant wave.
by: Joseph Shingleton, et al.
Published: (2022-01-01)

Understanding the immunological landscape of England during SARS-CoV2 Omicron variant wave
by: Joseph Shingleton, et al.
Published: (2022-01-01)

Homologous and Heterologous Prime-Boost Vaccination: Impact on Clinical Severity of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Infection among Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Belgium
by: Marjan Meurisse, et al.
Published: (2023-02-01)

Undetected Omicron Transmission in Romania—Report of the First Detected Case of Locally Acquired Omicron Infection and Complete Epidemiological Investigation
by: Anca Streinu-Cercel, et al.
Published: (2022-01-01)

Name Transmission Relationships in England (1838-2014)
by: Stephen J. Bush
Published: (2023-08-01)

The contribution of hospital-acquired infections to the COVID-19 epidemic in England in the first half of 2020
by: Gwenan M. Knight, et al.
Published: (2022-06-01)

Effect of COVID-19 vaccination on household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the Omicron era: The Vaccine Effectiveness, Networking, and Universal Safety (VENUS) study
by: Megumi Maeda, et al.
Published: (2023-09-01)

Green Tea Consumption and the COVID-19 Omicron Pandemic Era: Pharmacology and Epidemiology
by: Maksim Storozhuk, et al.
Published: (2023-03-01)

Posttraumatic stress disorder symptoms among healthcare workers during the Omicron era
by: YuanYuan Yin, et al.
Published: (2023-05-01)

Household transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in Denmark
by: Frederik Plesner Lyngse, et al.
Published: (2022-09-01)

Modelling in healthcare /
by: Simon Fraser University. Complex Systems Modelling Group, et al.
Published: (c201)

Rapidly shifting immunologic landscape and severity of SARS-CoV-2 in the Omicron era in South Africa
by: Kaiyuan Sun, et al.
Published: (2023-01-01)

In Pursuit of Civility: Manners and Civilization in Early Modern England. By Keith Thomas
by: Working, L
Published: (2018)