Impact of short-term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations: a multi-city case-crossover analysis in Belgium

Abstract Background The adverse effect of air pollution on mortality is well documented worldwide but the identification of more vulnerable populations at higher risk of death is still limited. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between natural mortality (overall and cause-specifi...

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Main Authors: Claire Demoury, Raf Aerts, Finaba Berete, Wouter Lefebvre, Arno Pauwels, Charlotte Vanpoucke, Johan Van der Heyden, Eva M. De Clercq
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-01-01
Series:Environmental Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01050-w
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author Claire Demoury
Raf Aerts
Finaba Berete
Wouter Lefebvre
Arno Pauwels
Charlotte Vanpoucke
Johan Van der Heyden
Eva M. De Clercq
author_facet Claire Demoury
Raf Aerts
Finaba Berete
Wouter Lefebvre
Arno Pauwels
Charlotte Vanpoucke
Johan Van der Heyden
Eva M. De Clercq
author_sort Claire Demoury
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The adverse effect of air pollution on mortality is well documented worldwide but the identification of more vulnerable populations at higher risk of death is still limited. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between natural mortality (overall and cause-specific) and short-term exposure to five air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, O3 and black carbon) and identify potential vulnerable populations in Belgium. Methods We used a time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regressions to assess the relationship between mortality and air pollution in the nine largest Belgian agglomerations. Then, we performed a random-effect meta-analysis of the pooled results and described the global air pollution-mortality association. We carried out stratified analyses by individual characteristics (sex, age, employment, hospitalization days and chronic preexisting health conditions), living environment (levels of population density, built-up areas) and season of death to identify effect modifiers of the association. Results The study included 304,754 natural deaths registered between 2010 and 2015. We found percentage increases for overall natural mortality associated with 10 μg/m3 increases of air pollution levels of 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2%, 1.0%) for PM2.5, 0.4% (0.1%, 0.8%) for PM10, 0.5% (-0.2%, 1.1%) for O3, 1.0% (0.3%, 1.7%) for NO2 and 7.1% (-0.1%, 14.8%) for black carbon. There was also evidence for increases of cardiovascular and respiratory mortality. We did not find effect modification by individual characteristics (sex, age, employment, hospitalization days). However, this study suggested differences in risk of death for people with preexisting conditions (thrombosis, cardiovascular diseases, asthma, diabetes and thyroid affections), season of death (May–September vs October–April) and levels of built-up area in the neighborhood (for NO2). Conclusions This work provided evidence for the adverse health effects of air pollution and contributed to the identification of specific population groups. These findings can help to better define public-health interventions and prevention strategies.
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spelling doaj.art-7949867f95094e6ea78c9afa77c0861f2024-03-05T16:41:26ZengBMCEnvironmental Health1476-069X2024-01-0123111010.1186/s12940-024-01050-wImpact of short-term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations: a multi-city case-crossover analysis in BelgiumClaire Demoury0Raf Aerts1Finaba Berete2Wouter Lefebvre3Arno Pauwels4Charlotte Vanpoucke5Johan Van der Heyden6Eva M. De Clercq7Risk and Health Impact Assessment, SciensanoRisk and Health Impact Assessment, SciensanoHealth InformationFlemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO)Risk and Health Impact Assessment, SciensanoBelgian Interregional Environment Agency (IRCELINE)Health InformationRisk and Health Impact Assessment, SciensanoAbstract Background The adverse effect of air pollution on mortality is well documented worldwide but the identification of more vulnerable populations at higher risk of death is still limited. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between natural mortality (overall and cause-specific) and short-term exposure to five air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, O3 and black carbon) and identify potential vulnerable populations in Belgium. Methods We used a time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regressions to assess the relationship between mortality and air pollution in the nine largest Belgian agglomerations. Then, we performed a random-effect meta-analysis of the pooled results and described the global air pollution-mortality association. We carried out stratified analyses by individual characteristics (sex, age, employment, hospitalization days and chronic preexisting health conditions), living environment (levels of population density, built-up areas) and season of death to identify effect modifiers of the association. Results The study included 304,754 natural deaths registered between 2010 and 2015. We found percentage increases for overall natural mortality associated with 10 μg/m3 increases of air pollution levels of 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2%, 1.0%) for PM2.5, 0.4% (0.1%, 0.8%) for PM10, 0.5% (-0.2%, 1.1%) for O3, 1.0% (0.3%, 1.7%) for NO2 and 7.1% (-0.1%, 14.8%) for black carbon. There was also evidence for increases of cardiovascular and respiratory mortality. We did not find effect modification by individual characteristics (sex, age, employment, hospitalization days). However, this study suggested differences in risk of death for people with preexisting conditions (thrombosis, cardiovascular diseases, asthma, diabetes and thyroid affections), season of death (May–September vs October–April) and levels of built-up area in the neighborhood (for NO2). Conclusions This work provided evidence for the adverse health effects of air pollution and contributed to the identification of specific population groups. These findings can help to better define public-health interventions and prevention strategies.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01050-wAir pollutionNatural mortalityCause-specific mortalityVulnerabilityEffect modificationPreexisting conditions
spellingShingle Claire Demoury
Raf Aerts
Finaba Berete
Wouter Lefebvre
Arno Pauwels
Charlotte Vanpoucke
Johan Van der Heyden
Eva M. De Clercq
Impact of short-term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations: a multi-city case-crossover analysis in Belgium
Environmental Health
Air pollution
Natural mortality
Cause-specific mortality
Vulnerability
Effect modification
Preexisting conditions
title Impact of short-term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations: a multi-city case-crossover analysis in Belgium
title_full Impact of short-term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations: a multi-city case-crossover analysis in Belgium
title_fullStr Impact of short-term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations: a multi-city case-crossover analysis in Belgium
title_full_unstemmed Impact of short-term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations: a multi-city case-crossover analysis in Belgium
title_short Impact of short-term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations: a multi-city case-crossover analysis in Belgium
title_sort impact of short term exposure to air pollution on natural mortality and vulnerable populations a multi city case crossover analysis in belgium
topic Air pollution
Natural mortality
Cause-specific mortality
Vulnerability
Effect modification
Preexisting conditions
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01050-w
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