Measuring and Analysis of Systemic Risk in Iranian Banking Sector and Investigating Its Determinants

In this paper, we study systemic by using three famous systemic risk measures - MES, ΔCoVaR and SRISK- for Iranian banks that has listed in capital markets and have been active during 2013/5/4 to 2018/9/5. After calculating of these three measures, we have estimated the impact of some characteristic...

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Main Authors: Hamid Abrishami, Mohsen Mehrara, Mohammad Rahmani
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Semnan University 2019-08-01
Series:مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3977_f480499add95f2c0f1d8008f79415ac2.pdf
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author Hamid Abrishami
Mohsen Mehrara
Mohammad Rahmani
author_facet Hamid Abrishami
Mohsen Mehrara
Mohammad Rahmani
author_sort Hamid Abrishami
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we study systemic by using three famous systemic risk measures - MES, ΔCoVaR and SRISK- for Iranian banks that has listed in capital markets and have been active during 2013/5/4 to 2018/9/5. After calculating of these three measures, we have estimated the impact of some characteristics of banks and some macroeconomic variables on these measures. The result of correlation and regression analysis of panel data shows that value-at-risk of banks has positive impact on MES and ΔCoVaR. However, unlike the theatrical literature, we did not find a positive relation between bank size and these systemic risk measures. Therefore, we concluded that small banks has contribution to systemic risk as well as large banks. Furthermore, the impact of capital adequacy and leverage ratio on systemic risk measures was so weak. Finally, we find that improvement in gdp growth decrease the MES and rising the inflation increases the ΔCoVaR.
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spelling doaj.art-7980f06ef7fa4d2f9ccb4480614f690f2024-02-23T18:40:09ZfasSemnan Universityمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی2345-654X2821-21502019-08-0143113610.22075/jem.2019.18530.13613977Measuring and Analysis of Systemic Risk in Iranian Banking Sector and Investigating Its DeterminantsHamid Abrishami0Mohsen Mehrara1Mohammad Rahmani2Professor in Economics, Department of Economics, University of TehranProfessor in Economics, Department of Economics, University of TehranPhD student of economics at university of TehranIn this paper, we study systemic by using three famous systemic risk measures - MES, ΔCoVaR and SRISK- for Iranian banks that has listed in capital markets and have been active during 2013/5/4 to 2018/9/5. After calculating of these three measures, we have estimated the impact of some characteristics of banks and some macroeconomic variables on these measures. The result of correlation and regression analysis of panel data shows that value-at-risk of banks has positive impact on MES and ΔCoVaR. However, unlike the theatrical literature, we did not find a positive relation between bank size and these systemic risk measures. Therefore, we concluded that small banks has contribution to systemic risk as well as large banks. Furthermore, the impact of capital adequacy and leverage ratio on systemic risk measures was so weak. Finally, we find that improvement in gdp growth decrease the MES and rising the inflation increases the ΔCoVaR.https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3977_f480499add95f2c0f1d8008f79415ac2.pdfsystemic riskmesδcovarsriskbanking sector
spellingShingle Hamid Abrishami
Mohsen Mehrara
Mohammad Rahmani
Measuring and Analysis of Systemic Risk in Iranian Banking Sector and Investigating Its Determinants
مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
systemic risk
mes
δcovar
srisk
banking sector
title Measuring and Analysis of Systemic Risk in Iranian Banking Sector and Investigating Its Determinants
title_full Measuring and Analysis of Systemic Risk in Iranian Banking Sector and Investigating Its Determinants
title_fullStr Measuring and Analysis of Systemic Risk in Iranian Banking Sector and Investigating Its Determinants
title_full_unstemmed Measuring and Analysis of Systemic Risk in Iranian Banking Sector and Investigating Its Determinants
title_short Measuring and Analysis of Systemic Risk in Iranian Banking Sector and Investigating Its Determinants
title_sort measuring and analysis of systemic risk in iranian banking sector and investigating its determinants
topic systemic risk
mes
δcovar
srisk
banking sector
url https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3977_f480499add95f2c0f1d8008f79415ac2.pdf
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AT mohsenmehrara measuringandanalysisofsystemicriskiniranianbankingsectorandinvestigatingitsdeterminants
AT mohammadrahmani measuringandanalysisofsystemicriskiniranianbankingsectorandinvestigatingitsdeterminants