Understanding COVID-19: comparison of spatio-temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the United States

This article examines three spatiotemporal methods used for analyzing of infectious diseases, with a focus on COVID-19 in the United States. The methods considered include inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation, retrospective spatiotemporal scan statistics and Bayesian spatiotemporal models....

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Main Authors: Chunhui Liu, Xiaodi Su, Zhaoxuan Dong, Xingyu Liu, Chunxia Qiu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PAGEPress Publications 2023-05-01
Series:Geospatial Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/1200
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author Chunhui Liu
Xiaodi Su
Zhaoxuan Dong
Xingyu Liu
Chunxia Qiu
author_facet Chunhui Liu
Xiaodi Su
Zhaoxuan Dong
Xingyu Liu
Chunxia Qiu
author_sort Chunhui Liu
collection DOAJ
description This article examines three spatiotemporal methods used for analyzing of infectious diseases, with a focus on COVID-19 in the United States. The methods considered include inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation, retrospective spatiotemporal scan statistics and Bayesian spatiotemporal models. The study covers a 12-month period from May 2020 to April 2021, including monthly data from 49 states or regions in the United States. The results show that the spread of COVID-19 pandemic increased rapidly to a high value in winter of 2020, followed by a brief decline that later reverted into another increase. Spatially, the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States exhibited a multi-centre, rapid spread character, with clustering areas represented by states such as New York, North Dakota, Texas and California. By demonstrating the applicability and limitations of different analytical tools in investigating the spatiotemporal dynamics of disease outbreaks, this study contributes to the broader field of epidemiology and helps improve strategies for responding to future major public health events.
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spelling doaj.art-79be83c3c08a4bfeb034cc332425ce332023-05-25T18:21:13ZengPAGEPress PublicationsGeospatial Health1827-19871970-70962023-05-0118110.4081/gh.2023.1200Understanding COVID-19: comparison of spatio-temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the United StatesChunhui Liu0Xiaodi Su1Zhaoxuan Dong2Xingyu Liu3Chunxia Qiu4College of Geomatics, Xi 'an University of Science and Technology, Xi 'anCollege of Geomatics, Xi 'an University of Science and Technology, Xi 'anSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, JiaozuoCollege of Geomatics, Xi 'an University of Science and Technology, Xi 'anCollege of Geomatics, Xi 'an University of Science and Technology, Xi 'anThis article examines three spatiotemporal methods used for analyzing of infectious diseases, with a focus on COVID-19 in the United States. The methods considered include inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation, retrospective spatiotemporal scan statistics and Bayesian spatiotemporal models. The study covers a 12-month period from May 2020 to April 2021, including monthly data from 49 states or regions in the United States. The results show that the spread of COVID-19 pandemic increased rapidly to a high value in winter of 2020, followed by a brief decline that later reverted into another increase. Spatially, the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States exhibited a multi-centre, rapid spread character, with clustering areas represented by states such as New York, North Dakota, Texas and California. By demonstrating the applicability and limitations of different analytical tools in investigating the spatiotemporal dynamics of disease outbreaks, this study contributes to the broader field of epidemiology and helps improve strategies for responding to future major public health events. https://geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/1200COVID-19spatio-temporal feature analysisIDWspatiotemporal scan statisticsBayesian spatio-temporal modelUSA
spellingShingle Chunhui Liu
Xiaodi Su
Zhaoxuan Dong
Xingyu Liu
Chunxia Qiu
Understanding COVID-19: comparison of spatio-temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the United States
Geospatial Health
COVID-19
spatio-temporal feature analysis
IDW
spatiotemporal scan statistics
Bayesian spatio-temporal model
USA
title Understanding COVID-19: comparison of spatio-temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the United States
title_full Understanding COVID-19: comparison of spatio-temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the United States
title_fullStr Understanding COVID-19: comparison of spatio-temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the United States
title_full_unstemmed Understanding COVID-19: comparison of spatio-temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the United States
title_short Understanding COVID-19: comparison of spatio-temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the United States
title_sort understanding covid 19 comparison of spatio temporal analysis methods used to study epidemic spread patterns in the united states
topic COVID-19
spatio-temporal feature analysis
IDW
spatiotemporal scan statistics
Bayesian spatio-temporal model
USA
url https://geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/1200
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