Oil as Hedge, Safe-Haven, and Diversifier for Conventional Currencies

The research investigates the safe-haven, hedging, and diversification function of crude oil for conventional currencies, among which five are major oil exporters, and six are major oil importers. In order to model time-varying dynamic correlations between crude oil and currencies, the study uses th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Changyu Liu, Muhammad Abubakr Naeem, Mobeen Ur Rehman, Saqib Farid, Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-08-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/17/4354
Description
Summary:The research investigates the safe-haven, hedging, and diversification function of crude oil for conventional currencies, among which five are major oil exporters, and six are major oil importers. In order to model time-varying dynamic correlations between crude oil and currencies, the study uses the Asymmetric-DCC model. The findings highlight low or negative correlations, especially during the crisis period. Next, we employ a quantile based regression framework and conclude distinct safe-haven and hedge functions of oil for major currencies. We provide additional evidence on the safe-haven, hedging, and diversification function of crude oil using the cross-quantilogram framework. The findings of out of sample analysis illustrate that the hedging effectiveness of oil is greater for oil-exporting countries. In addition, the conditional diversification benefit of oil is higher in the lower quantiles, i.e., when both foreign exchange and oil markets are in a bearish state. Finally, implications for investors, portfolio managers, and policymakers are further discussed.
ISSN:1996-1073