Integrated Model of Demand for Telephone Services in Terms of Microeconometrics

The paper presents the results of the testing effectiveness of the integrated model in the short-term forecasting of demand for telephone services in 24-hour cycles. The linear regression model with dichotomous (binary) independent variables was integrated with the feed forward neural network. The r...

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Main Author: Kaczmarczyk Paweł
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2016-12-01
Series:Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/foli-2016-0026
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author Kaczmarczyk Paweł
author_facet Kaczmarczyk Paweł
author_sort Kaczmarczyk Paweł
collection DOAJ
description The paper presents the results of the testing effectiveness of the integrated model in the short-term forecasting of demand for telephone services in 24-hour cycles. The linear regression model with dichotomous (binary) independent variables was integrated with the feed forward neural network. The regression model was used as a filter of modelled variability of the demand. The neural network was used to model residual variability. The research shows that the integrated model has a higher possibility of approximation and prediction in comparison to the non-integrated linear regression model. The research study was based on data provided by the selected telecommunications network operator. The range of empirical material consisted of hourly counted seconds of outgoing calls and generated by network subscribers in various analytical sections.
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spelling doaj.art-79edfefa114646c293f2ec57dff2c1672022-12-21T21:59:08ZengSciendoFolia Oeconomica Stetinensia1898-01982016-12-01162728310.1515/foli-2016-0026foli-2016-0026Integrated Model of Demand for Telephone Services in Terms of MicroeconometricsKaczmarczyk Paweł0The State University of Applied Sciences in Płock, Faculty of Economics and Information Technology, Department of Economics, Nowe Trzepowo 55, 09-402 Płock, PolandThe paper presents the results of the testing effectiveness of the integrated model in the short-term forecasting of demand for telephone services in 24-hour cycles. The linear regression model with dichotomous (binary) independent variables was integrated with the feed forward neural network. The regression model was used as a filter of modelled variability of the demand. The neural network was used to model residual variability. The research shows that the integrated model has a higher possibility of approximation and prediction in comparison to the non-integrated linear regression model. The research study was based on data provided by the selected telecommunications network operator. The range of empirical material consisted of hourly counted seconds of outgoing calls and generated by network subscribers in various analytical sections.https://doi.org/10.1515/foli-2016-0026decision support systemlinear regressionfeed forward neural networkforecastingc45c53d24
spellingShingle Kaczmarczyk Paweł
Integrated Model of Demand for Telephone Services in Terms of Microeconometrics
Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia
decision support system
linear regression
feed forward neural network
forecasting
c45
c53
d24
title Integrated Model of Demand for Telephone Services in Terms of Microeconometrics
title_full Integrated Model of Demand for Telephone Services in Terms of Microeconometrics
title_fullStr Integrated Model of Demand for Telephone Services in Terms of Microeconometrics
title_full_unstemmed Integrated Model of Demand for Telephone Services in Terms of Microeconometrics
title_short Integrated Model of Demand for Telephone Services in Terms of Microeconometrics
title_sort integrated model of demand for telephone services in terms of microeconometrics
topic decision support system
linear regression
feed forward neural network
forecasting
c45
c53
d24
url https://doi.org/10.1515/foli-2016-0026
work_keys_str_mv AT kaczmarczykpaweł integratedmodelofdemandfortelephoneservicesintermsofmicroeconometrics