Escaping the heat: Climate change and visitation to the Lake Tahoe basin

The Lake Tahoe Basin of California and Nevada is a popular destination for visitors. As temperatures rise globally, visitation to this climatic refuge is likely to grow. Increased visitation contributes to increases in vehicle miles of travel (VMT), congestion, crashes, emissions, and deteriorating...

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Main Authors: Tianwen Hui, Susie Pike, Scott Kelley, Susan Handy, Dan Segan, Reid Haefer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-03-01
Series:Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259019822300026X
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author Tianwen Hui
Susie Pike
Scott Kelley
Susan Handy
Dan Segan
Reid Haefer
author_facet Tianwen Hui
Susie Pike
Scott Kelley
Susan Handy
Dan Segan
Reid Haefer
author_sort Tianwen Hui
collection DOAJ
description The Lake Tahoe Basin of California and Nevada is a popular destination for visitors. As temperatures rise globally, visitation to this climatic refuge is likely to grow. Increased visitation contributes to increases in vehicle miles of travel (VMT), congestion, crashes, emissions, and deteriorating travel experiences at Lake Tahoe, while also contributing to friction between visitors and residents. Policymakers are exploring ways to mitigate these problems, but one key uncertainty to first address is exactly how many visitors are in the Tahoe Basin at a given time and how and where they travel while there. It is also unclear how visitation is influenced by heat in the nearby lower-elevation population centers during the summertime, which is when visitation is the highest. This study thus seeks to 1) quantify day and overnight visitors in the Tahoe Basin, 2) estimate VMT attributable to each group, and 3) model the influence of hot temperatures nearby on visitation and VMT within the Tahoe Basin. We use existing survey data, network GIS analysis, and publicly available weather data to model the relationship between particularly hot conditions and vehicle flow through two of the region’s primary entry points and estimate in-basin VMT attributable to travel through them. We evaluate several ways of defining “hot conditions” nearby and find that between 500 and 1,200 additional vehicles enter the basin at these two points alone, generating an additional in-basin daily VMT of about 12,000 to 33,000 when hot conditions exist. Quantifying the magnitude of the challenge enables managers to design and scale interventions to mitigate impacts.
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spelling doaj.art-7a038110358d440cbe3dd49bb4a7cd9d2023-03-25T05:15:15ZengElsevierTransportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives2590-19822023-03-0118100779Escaping the heat: Climate change and visitation to the Lake Tahoe basinTianwen Hui0Susie Pike1Scott Kelley2Susan Handy3Dan Segan4Reid Haefer5Corresponding author.; Department of Geography University of Nevada, Reno Reno, NV 89557, USA; Institute of Transportation Studies University of California, Davis, USA; Tahoe Regional Planning Agency Stateline, NV 89449, USADepartment of Geography University of Nevada, Reno Reno, NV 89557, USA; Institute of Transportation Studies University of California, Davis, USA; Tahoe Regional Planning Agency Stateline, NV 89449, USADepartment of Geography University of Nevada, Reno Reno, NV 89557, USA; Institute of Transportation Studies University of California, Davis, USA; Tahoe Regional Planning Agency Stateline, NV 89449, USADepartment of Geography University of Nevada, Reno Reno, NV 89557, USA; Institute of Transportation Studies University of California, Davis, USA; Tahoe Regional Planning Agency Stateline, NV 89449, USADepartment of Geography University of Nevada, Reno Reno, NV 89557, USA; Institute of Transportation Studies University of California, Davis, USA; Tahoe Regional Planning Agency Stateline, NV 89449, USADepartment of Geography University of Nevada, Reno Reno, NV 89557, USA; Institute of Transportation Studies University of California, Davis, USA; Tahoe Regional Planning Agency Stateline, NV 89449, USAThe Lake Tahoe Basin of California and Nevada is a popular destination for visitors. As temperatures rise globally, visitation to this climatic refuge is likely to grow. Increased visitation contributes to increases in vehicle miles of travel (VMT), congestion, crashes, emissions, and deteriorating travel experiences at Lake Tahoe, while also contributing to friction between visitors and residents. Policymakers are exploring ways to mitigate these problems, but one key uncertainty to first address is exactly how many visitors are in the Tahoe Basin at a given time and how and where they travel while there. It is also unclear how visitation is influenced by heat in the nearby lower-elevation population centers during the summertime, which is when visitation is the highest. This study thus seeks to 1) quantify day and overnight visitors in the Tahoe Basin, 2) estimate VMT attributable to each group, and 3) model the influence of hot temperatures nearby on visitation and VMT within the Tahoe Basin. We use existing survey data, network GIS analysis, and publicly available weather data to model the relationship between particularly hot conditions and vehicle flow through two of the region’s primary entry points and estimate in-basin VMT attributable to travel through them. We evaluate several ways of defining “hot conditions” nearby and find that between 500 and 1,200 additional vehicles enter the basin at these two points alone, generating an additional in-basin daily VMT of about 12,000 to 33,000 when hot conditions exist. Quantifying the magnitude of the challenge enables managers to design and scale interventions to mitigate impacts.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259019822300026XVMT estimationTemperature IncreaseVisitationLake Tahoe Basin
spellingShingle Tianwen Hui
Susie Pike
Scott Kelley
Susan Handy
Dan Segan
Reid Haefer
Escaping the heat: Climate change and visitation to the Lake Tahoe basin
Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
VMT estimation
Temperature Increase
Visitation
Lake Tahoe Basin
title Escaping the heat: Climate change and visitation to the Lake Tahoe basin
title_full Escaping the heat: Climate change and visitation to the Lake Tahoe basin
title_fullStr Escaping the heat: Climate change and visitation to the Lake Tahoe basin
title_full_unstemmed Escaping the heat: Climate change and visitation to the Lake Tahoe basin
title_short Escaping the heat: Climate change and visitation to the Lake Tahoe basin
title_sort escaping the heat climate change and visitation to the lake tahoe basin
topic VMT estimation
Temperature Increase
Visitation
Lake Tahoe Basin
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259019822300026X
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AT susanhandy escapingtheheatclimatechangeandvisitationtothelaketahoebasin
AT dansegan escapingtheheatclimatechangeandvisitationtothelaketahoebasin
AT reidhaefer escapingtheheatclimatechangeandvisitationtothelaketahoebasin