Causal Inference in Threshold Regression and the Neural Network Extension (TRNN)

The first-hitting-time based model conceptualizes a random process for subjects’ latent health status. The time-to-event outcome is modeled as the first hitting time of the random process to a pre-specified threshold. Threshold regression with linear predictors has numerous benefits in causal surviv...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yiming Chen, Paul J. Smith, Mei-Ling Ting Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-04-01
Series:Stats
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-905X/6/2/36
_version_ 1797592573852778496
author Yiming Chen
Paul J. Smith
Mei-Ling Ting Lee
author_facet Yiming Chen
Paul J. Smith
Mei-Ling Ting Lee
author_sort Yiming Chen
collection DOAJ
description The first-hitting-time based model conceptualizes a random process for subjects’ latent health status. The time-to-event outcome is modeled as the first hitting time of the random process to a pre-specified threshold. Threshold regression with linear predictors has numerous benefits in causal survival analysis, such as the estimators’ collapsibility. We propose a neural network extension of the first-hitting-time based threshold regression model. With the flexibility of neural networks, the extended threshold regression model can efficiently capture complex relationships among predictors and underlying health processes while providing clinically meaningful interpretations, and also tackle the challenge of high-dimensional inputs. The proposed neural network extended threshold regression model can further be applied in causal survival analysis, such as performing as the Q-model in G-computation. More efficient causal estimations are expected given the algorithm’s robustness. Simulations were conducted to validate estimator collapsibility and threshold regression G-computation. The performance of the neural network extended threshold regression model is also illustrated by using simulated and real high-dimensional data from an observational study.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T01:56:02Z
format Article
id doaj.art-7a05d1c7fa234ece853e607cf84997a9
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2571-905X
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T01:56:02Z
publishDate 2023-04-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Stats
spelling doaj.art-7a05d1c7fa234ece853e607cf84997a92023-11-18T12:39:16ZengMDPI AGStats2571-905X2023-04-016255257510.3390/stats6020036Causal Inference in Threshold Regression and the Neural Network Extension (TRNN)Yiming Chen0Paul J. Smith1Mei-Ling Ting Lee2Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USADepartment of Mathematics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USADepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USAThe first-hitting-time based model conceptualizes a random process for subjects’ latent health status. The time-to-event outcome is modeled as the first hitting time of the random process to a pre-specified threshold. Threshold regression with linear predictors has numerous benefits in causal survival analysis, such as the estimators’ collapsibility. We propose a neural network extension of the first-hitting-time based threshold regression model. With the flexibility of neural networks, the extended threshold regression model can efficiently capture complex relationships among predictors and underlying health processes while providing clinically meaningful interpretations, and also tackle the challenge of high-dimensional inputs. The proposed neural network extended threshold regression model can further be applied in causal survival analysis, such as performing as the Q-model in G-computation. More efficient causal estimations are expected given the algorithm’s robustness. Simulations were conducted to validate estimator collapsibility and threshold regression G-computation. The performance of the neural network extended threshold regression model is also illustrated by using simulated and real high-dimensional data from an observational study.https://www.mdpi.com/2571-905X/6/2/36first-hitting-timeG-computationmachine learninghigh-dimensional data
spellingShingle Yiming Chen
Paul J. Smith
Mei-Ling Ting Lee
Causal Inference in Threshold Regression and the Neural Network Extension (TRNN)
Stats
first-hitting-time
G-computation
machine learning
high-dimensional data
title Causal Inference in Threshold Regression and the Neural Network Extension (TRNN)
title_full Causal Inference in Threshold Regression and the Neural Network Extension (TRNN)
title_fullStr Causal Inference in Threshold Regression and the Neural Network Extension (TRNN)
title_full_unstemmed Causal Inference in Threshold Regression and the Neural Network Extension (TRNN)
title_short Causal Inference in Threshold Regression and the Neural Network Extension (TRNN)
title_sort causal inference in threshold regression and the neural network extension trnn
topic first-hitting-time
G-computation
machine learning
high-dimensional data
url https://www.mdpi.com/2571-905X/6/2/36
work_keys_str_mv AT yimingchen causalinferenceinthresholdregressionandtheneuralnetworkextensiontrnn
AT pauljsmith causalinferenceinthresholdregressionandtheneuralnetworkextensiontrnn
AT meilingtinglee causalinferenceinthresholdregressionandtheneuralnetworkextensiontrnn