Changes in Vegetation NDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015

Exploring the evolution of vegetation cover and its drivers in the Ferghana Basin helps to understand the current ecological status of the Ferghana Basin and to analyze the vegetation changes and drivers, with a view to providing a scientific basis for regional ecological and environmental managemen...

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Main Authors: Heli Zhang, Lu Li, Xiaoen Zhao, Feng Chen, Jiachang Wei, Zhimin Feng, Tiyuan Hou, Youping Chen, Weipeng Yue, Huaming Shang, Shijie Wang, Mao Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-04-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/16/7/1296
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author Heli Zhang
Lu Li
Xiaoen Zhao
Feng Chen
Jiachang Wei
Zhimin Feng
Tiyuan Hou
Youping Chen
Weipeng Yue
Huaming Shang
Shijie Wang
Mao Hu
author_facet Heli Zhang
Lu Li
Xiaoen Zhao
Feng Chen
Jiachang Wei
Zhimin Feng
Tiyuan Hou
Youping Chen
Weipeng Yue
Huaming Shang
Shijie Wang
Mao Hu
author_sort Heli Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Exploring the evolution of vegetation cover and its drivers in the Ferghana Basin helps to understand the current ecological status of the Ferghana Basin and to analyze the vegetation changes and drivers, with a view to providing a scientific basis for regional ecological and environmental management and planning. Based on GIMMS NDVI3g and meteorological data, the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of NDVI were analyzed from multiple perspectives with the help of linear trend and Mann–Kendall (MK) test methods using arcgis and the R language spatial analysis module, combined with partial correlation coefficients and residual analysis methods to analyze the impacts of climate change and human activities on the regional vegetation cover of the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015. NDVI driving forces. The results showed the following: (1) The growing season of vegetation NDVI in the Ferghana Basin showed an increasing trend in the 34-year period, with an increase rate of 0.0044/10a, and the spatial distribution was significantly different, which was high in the central part of the country and low in the northern and southern parts of the country. (2) Temperature and precipitation simultaneously co-influenced the vegetation NDVI growth season, with most of the temperature and precipitation contributing in the spring, most of the temperature in the summer being negatively phased and the precipitation positively correlated, and most of the temperature and precipitation in the fall inhibiting vegetation NDVI growth. (3) The combined effect of climate change and human activities was the main reason for the overall rapid increase and great spatial variations in vegetation NDVI in China, and the spatial distribution of drivers, namely human activities and climate change, contributed 44.6% to vegetation NDVI in the growing season. The contribution of climate change and human activities to vegetation NDVI in the Ferghana Basin was 62.32% and 93.29%, respectively. The study suggests that more attention should be paid to the role of human activities and climate change in vegetation restoration to inform ecosystem management and green development.
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spelling doaj.art-7a071596b66c42ff94a232446816d1e22024-04-12T13:25:55ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922024-04-01167129610.3390/rs16071296Changes in Vegetation NDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015Heli Zhang0Lu Li1Xiaoen Zhao2Feng Chen3Jiachang Wei4Zhimin Feng5Tiyuan Hou6Youping Chen7Weipeng Yue8Huaming Shang9Shijie Wang10Mao Hu11Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration/Key Laboratory of Tree-Ring Physical and Chemical Research of China Meteorological Administration/Xinjiang Key Laboratory for Tree Ring Ecology, Urumqi 830002, ChinaMeteorological Observatory of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830002, ChinaYunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, ChinaYunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, ChinaYunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, ChinaXinjiang Eco-Meteorological and Satellite Remote Sensing Center, Urumqi 830011, ChinaYunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, ChinaYunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, ChinaYunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, ChinaInstitute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration/Key Laboratory of Tree-Ring Physical and Chemical Research of China Meteorological Administration/Xinjiang Key Laboratory for Tree Ring Ecology, Urumqi 830002, ChinaYunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, ChinaYunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, ChinaExploring the evolution of vegetation cover and its drivers in the Ferghana Basin helps to understand the current ecological status of the Ferghana Basin and to analyze the vegetation changes and drivers, with a view to providing a scientific basis for regional ecological and environmental management and planning. Based on GIMMS NDVI3g and meteorological data, the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of NDVI were analyzed from multiple perspectives with the help of linear trend and Mann–Kendall (MK) test methods using arcgis and the R language spatial analysis module, combined with partial correlation coefficients and residual analysis methods to analyze the impacts of climate change and human activities on the regional vegetation cover of the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015. NDVI driving forces. The results showed the following: (1) The growing season of vegetation NDVI in the Ferghana Basin showed an increasing trend in the 34-year period, with an increase rate of 0.0044/10a, and the spatial distribution was significantly different, which was high in the central part of the country and low in the northern and southern parts of the country. (2) Temperature and precipitation simultaneously co-influenced the vegetation NDVI growth season, with most of the temperature and precipitation contributing in the spring, most of the temperature in the summer being negatively phased and the precipitation positively correlated, and most of the temperature and precipitation in the fall inhibiting vegetation NDVI growth. (3) The combined effect of climate change and human activities was the main reason for the overall rapid increase and great spatial variations in vegetation NDVI in China, and the spatial distribution of drivers, namely human activities and climate change, contributed 44.6% to vegetation NDVI in the growing season. The contribution of climate change and human activities to vegetation NDVI in the Ferghana Basin was 62.32% and 93.29%, respectively. The study suggests that more attention should be paid to the role of human activities and climate change in vegetation restoration to inform ecosystem management and green development.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/16/7/1296Ferghana Basinclimate changehuman activitiescontributionvegetation NDVI
spellingShingle Heli Zhang
Lu Li
Xiaoen Zhao
Feng Chen
Jiachang Wei
Zhimin Feng
Tiyuan Hou
Youping Chen
Weipeng Yue
Huaming Shang
Shijie Wang
Mao Hu
Changes in Vegetation NDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015
Remote Sensing
Ferghana Basin
climate change
human activities
contribution
vegetation NDVI
title Changes in Vegetation NDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015
title_full Changes in Vegetation NDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015
title_fullStr Changes in Vegetation NDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015
title_full_unstemmed Changes in Vegetation NDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015
title_short Changes in Vegetation NDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Ferghana Basin from 1982 to 2015
title_sort changes in vegetation ndvi and its response to climate change and human activities in the ferghana basin from 1982 to 2015
topic Ferghana Basin
climate change
human activities
contribution
vegetation NDVI
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/16/7/1296
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