Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave Radiation

The estimation of downward long-wave radiation (DLR) at the surface is very important for the understanding of the Earth’s radiative budget with implications in surface–atmosphere exchanges, climate variability, and global warming. Theoretical radiative transfer and observationally based studies ide...

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Main Authors: Francis M. Lopes, Emanuel Dutra, Isabel F. Trigo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-04-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/7/1704
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author Francis M. Lopes
Emanuel Dutra
Isabel F. Trigo
author_facet Francis M. Lopes
Emanuel Dutra
Isabel F. Trigo
author_sort Francis M. Lopes
collection DOAJ
description The estimation of downward long-wave radiation (DLR) at the surface is very important for the understanding of the Earth’s radiative budget with implications in surface–atmosphere exchanges, climate variability, and global warming. Theoretical radiative transfer and observationally based studies identify the crucial role of clouds in modulating the temporal and spatial variability of DLR. In this study, a new machine learning algorithm that uses multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and the combination of near-surface meteorological data with satellite cloud information is proposed. The new algorithm is compared with the current operational formulation used by the European Organization for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis (LSA-SAF). Both algorithms use near-surface temperature and dewpoint temperature along with total column water vapor from the latest European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis ERA5 and satellite cloud information from the Meteosat Second Generation. The algorithms are trained and validated using both ECMWF-ERA5 and DLR acquired from 23 ground stations as part of the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) and the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility. Results show that the MARS algorithm generally improves DLR estimation in comparison with other model estimates, particularly when trained with observations. When considering all the validation data, root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 18.76, 23.55, and 22.08 W·m<sup>−2</sup> are obtained for MARS, operational LSA-SAF, and ERA5, respectively. The added value of using the satellite cloud information is accessed by comparing with estimates driven by ERA5 total cloud cover, showing an increase of 17% of the RMSE. The consistency of MARS estimate is also tested against an independent dataset of 52 ground stations (from FLUXNET2015), further supporting the good performance of the proposed model.
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spelling doaj.art-7a0892716bac400faca3a42ed49b3b462023-11-30T23:57:45ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922022-04-01147170410.3390/rs14071704Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave RadiationFrancis M. Lopes0Emanuel Dutra1Isabel F. Trigo2Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Campo Grande, 1749-016 Lisbon, PortugalInstituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Campo Grande, 1749-016 Lisbon, PortugalInstituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Campo Grande, 1749-016 Lisbon, PortugalThe estimation of downward long-wave radiation (DLR) at the surface is very important for the understanding of the Earth’s radiative budget with implications in surface–atmosphere exchanges, climate variability, and global warming. Theoretical radiative transfer and observationally based studies identify the crucial role of clouds in modulating the temporal and spatial variability of DLR. In this study, a new machine learning algorithm that uses multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and the combination of near-surface meteorological data with satellite cloud information is proposed. The new algorithm is compared with the current operational formulation used by the European Organization for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis (LSA-SAF). Both algorithms use near-surface temperature and dewpoint temperature along with total column water vapor from the latest European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis ERA5 and satellite cloud information from the Meteosat Second Generation. The algorithms are trained and validated using both ECMWF-ERA5 and DLR acquired from 23 ground stations as part of the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) and the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility. Results show that the MARS algorithm generally improves DLR estimation in comparison with other model estimates, particularly when trained with observations. When considering all the validation data, root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 18.76, 23.55, and 22.08 W·m<sup>−2</sup> are obtained for MARS, operational LSA-SAF, and ERA5, respectively. The added value of using the satellite cloud information is accessed by comparing with estimates driven by ERA5 total cloud cover, showing an increase of 17% of the RMSE. The consistency of MARS estimate is also tested against an independent dataset of 52 ground stations (from FLUXNET2015), further supporting the good performance of the proposed model.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/7/1704downward surface long-wave radiationmachine learningmultivariate adaptive regression splinesEUMETSAT LSA-SAFECMWF-ERA5
spellingShingle Francis M. Lopes
Emanuel Dutra
Isabel F. Trigo
Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave Radiation
Remote Sensing
downward surface long-wave radiation
machine learning
multivariate adaptive regression splines
EUMETSAT LSA-SAF
ECMWF-ERA5
title Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave Radiation
title_full Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave Radiation
title_fullStr Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave Radiation
title_full_unstemmed Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave Radiation
title_short Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave Radiation
title_sort integrating reanalysis and satellite cloud information to estimate surface downward long wave radiation
topic downward surface long-wave radiation
machine learning
multivariate adaptive regression splines
EUMETSAT LSA-SAF
ECMWF-ERA5
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/7/1704
work_keys_str_mv AT francismlopes integratingreanalysisandsatellitecloudinformationtoestimatesurfacedownwardlongwaveradiation
AT emanueldutra integratingreanalysisandsatellitecloudinformationtoestimatesurfacedownwardlongwaveradiation
AT isabelftrigo integratingreanalysisandsatellitecloudinformationtoestimatesurfacedownwardlongwaveradiation