Is Demography Destiny? Urban Population Change and Economic Vitality of Future Cities
ABSTRACT: The growth of cities has attracted considerable scholarly attention during the last decade as it is becoming clear that powerful agglomeration forces are reinforcing the role of cities as the engines of economic growth. Close to 4 billion people live in cities, about 55 per cent of the wor...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2013-01-01
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| Series: | Journal of Urban Management |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2226585618300621 |
| _version_ | 1818561798335365120 |
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| author | Jacques Poot Shefali Pawar |
| author_facet | Jacques Poot Shefali Pawar |
| author_sort | Jacques Poot |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | ABSTRACT: The growth of cities has attracted considerable scholarly attention during the last decade as it is becoming clear that powerful agglomeration forces are reinforcing the role of cities as the engines of economic growth. Close to 4 billion people live in cities, about 55 per cent of the world's population. While population growth rates are declining and the world's population is likely to level off from the middle of the 21st century, probably ending up around 10 billion, further urbanization is expected to continue. Another 3 billion people will become urban citizens this century. At the same time no corner of the world will be sheltered from sweeping demographic changes due to population ageing and increasing migration. Such changes will be amplified in cities. In this paper we combine UN population projections and migration data with our own assumptions to derive projections of age composition and birthplace composition of urban populations by continent. We also briefly address the consequences of these demographic trends for future urban economic vitality. Particular attention is paid to the impacts of demographic changes on urban creativity and innovation. We conclude that, with the right policies in place, such demographic changes enhance rather than impede the future prosperity of the urban world. KEYWORDS: World population projections, urbanization, ageing, migration, ethnic diversity |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-14T00:55:26Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-7a781216c1204c85b171e620a754872e |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2226-5856 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-14T00:55:26Z |
| publishDate | 2013-01-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Urban Management |
| spelling | doaj.art-7a781216c1204c85b171e620a754872e2022-12-21T23:23:35ZengElsevierJournal of Urban Management2226-58562013-01-0121523Is Demography Destiny? Urban Population Change and Economic Vitality of Future CitiesJacques Poot0Shefali Pawar1National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA), University of Waikato, Private Bag 3105, Hamilton, New Zealand; Tel: 64-7-838-4685National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA), University of Waikato, Private Bag 3105, Hamilton, New Zealand; Tel: 64-7-838-4040ABSTRACT: The growth of cities has attracted considerable scholarly attention during the last decade as it is becoming clear that powerful agglomeration forces are reinforcing the role of cities as the engines of economic growth. Close to 4 billion people live in cities, about 55 per cent of the world's population. While population growth rates are declining and the world's population is likely to level off from the middle of the 21st century, probably ending up around 10 billion, further urbanization is expected to continue. Another 3 billion people will become urban citizens this century. At the same time no corner of the world will be sheltered from sweeping demographic changes due to population ageing and increasing migration. Such changes will be amplified in cities. In this paper we combine UN population projections and migration data with our own assumptions to derive projections of age composition and birthplace composition of urban populations by continent. We also briefly address the consequences of these demographic trends for future urban economic vitality. Particular attention is paid to the impacts of demographic changes on urban creativity and innovation. We conclude that, with the right policies in place, such demographic changes enhance rather than impede the future prosperity of the urban world. KEYWORDS: World population projections, urbanization, ageing, migration, ethnic diversityhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2226585618300621 |
| spellingShingle | Jacques Poot Shefali Pawar Is Demography Destiny? Urban Population Change and Economic Vitality of Future Cities Journal of Urban Management |
| title | Is Demography Destiny? Urban Population Change and Economic Vitality of Future Cities |
| title_full | Is Demography Destiny? Urban Population Change and Economic Vitality of Future Cities |
| title_fullStr | Is Demography Destiny? Urban Population Change and Economic Vitality of Future Cities |
| title_full_unstemmed | Is Demography Destiny? Urban Population Change and Economic Vitality of Future Cities |
| title_short | Is Demography Destiny? Urban Population Change and Economic Vitality of Future Cities |
| title_sort | is demography destiny urban population change and economic vitality of future cities |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2226585618300621 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT jacquespoot isdemographydestinyurbanpopulationchangeandeconomicvitalityoffuturecities AT shefalipawar isdemographydestinyurbanpopulationchangeandeconomicvitalityoffuturecities |