Inside Local Governance: How Well Is Debt Managed?

<p>Several debates and concerns about local elections focus on whether local governance can take root in an environment where people have a very low trust in their rulers, and deliver the economic goods: a higher rate of investment, more growth and more jobs. In this paper we aim to understand...

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Main Author: Eymen Errais
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2019-03-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/7486
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author Eymen Errais
author_facet Eymen Errais
author_sort Eymen Errais
collection DOAJ
description <p>Several debates and concerns about local elections focus on whether local governance can take root in an environment where people have a very low trust in their rulers, and deliver the economic goods: a higher rate of investment, more growth and more jobs. In this paper we aim to understand whether local authorities have the financial means and management skills to face these challenges. More specifically, we address the issue of local debt management and propose a scoring system that rates municipalities' credit quality. Our methodology is based on a mix of quantitative modeling and qualitative analysis.  Our data set incorporates all the 264 Tunisian Municipalities and spans a period over 7 years (2010-2016). Our results show that the main quantitative factor predicting good debt management is <em>Net Cash Flow</em>. The model shows strong efficiency and reliable predictive power.<strong></strong></p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Local governance, default risk, debt management, credit risk factors</p><p><strong>JEL Classifications:</strong> F30, G28, C50</p><p>DOI: <a href="https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.7486">https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.7486</a></p>
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spelling doaj.art-7a890fd5fe5b4980be9db248fc4159c52023-02-15T16:17:41ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382019-03-01921451533773Inside Local Governance: How Well Is Debt Managed?Eymen Errais0Laboratoire de Recherche en Economie Quantitative du Développement (LAREQUAD), University of Tunis El Manar<p>Several debates and concerns about local elections focus on whether local governance can take root in an environment where people have a very low trust in their rulers, and deliver the economic goods: a higher rate of investment, more growth and more jobs. In this paper we aim to understand whether local authorities have the financial means and management skills to face these challenges. More specifically, we address the issue of local debt management and propose a scoring system that rates municipalities' credit quality. Our methodology is based on a mix of quantitative modeling and qualitative analysis.  Our data set incorporates all the 264 Tunisian Municipalities and spans a period over 7 years (2010-2016). Our results show that the main quantitative factor predicting good debt management is <em>Net Cash Flow</em>. The model shows strong efficiency and reliable predictive power.<strong></strong></p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Local governance, default risk, debt management, credit risk factors</p><p><strong>JEL Classifications:</strong> F30, G28, C50</p><p>DOI: <a href="https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.7486">https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.7486</a></p>https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/7486
spellingShingle Eymen Errais
Inside Local Governance: How Well Is Debt Managed?
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Inside Local Governance: How Well Is Debt Managed?
title_full Inside Local Governance: How Well Is Debt Managed?
title_fullStr Inside Local Governance: How Well Is Debt Managed?
title_full_unstemmed Inside Local Governance: How Well Is Debt Managed?
title_short Inside Local Governance: How Well Is Debt Managed?
title_sort inside local governance how well is debt managed
url https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/7486
work_keys_str_mv AT eymenerrais insidelocalgovernancehowwellisdebtmanaged