Estimation of Potential Evapotranspiration in the Yellow River Basin Using Machine Learning Models

Potential evapotranspiration (<i>PET</i>) is an important input variable of many ecohydrological models, but commonly used empirical models usually input numerous meteorological factors. In consideration of machine learning for complex nonlinear learning, we evaluated the applicability o...

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Main Authors: Jie Liu, Kunxia Yu, Peng Li, Lu Jia, Xiaoming Zhang, Zhi Yang, Yang Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-09-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/9/1467
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author Jie Liu
Kunxia Yu
Peng Li
Lu Jia
Xiaoming Zhang
Zhi Yang
Yang Zhao
author_facet Jie Liu
Kunxia Yu
Peng Li
Lu Jia
Xiaoming Zhang
Zhi Yang
Yang Zhao
author_sort Jie Liu
collection DOAJ
description Potential evapotranspiration (<i>PET</i>) is an important input variable of many ecohydrological models, but commonly used empirical models usually input numerous meteorological factors. In consideration of machine learning for complex nonlinear learning, we evaluated the applicability of three machine learning algorithms in <i>PET</i> estimation in the Yellow River basin (YRB), in addition to determining significant factors affecting the accuracy of machine learning. Furthermore, the importance of meteorological factors at varying altitudes and drought index grades for <i>PET</i> simulation were evaluated. The results show that the accuracy of <i>PET</i> simulation in the YRB depends on the input of various meteorological factors; however, machine learning models including average temperature (<i>T<sub>mean</sub></i>) and sunshine hours (<i>n</i>) as input achieved satisfactory accuracy in the absence of complete meteorological data. Random forest generally performed best among all investigated models, followed by extreme learning machine, whereas empirical models overestimated or underestimated <i>PET</i>. The importance index shows that <i>T<sub>mean</sub></i> is the most influential factor with respect to <i>PET</i>, followed by <i>n</i>, and the influence of <i>T<sub>mean</sub></i> on <i>PET</i> gradually decreased with increased altitude and drier climate, whereas the influence of n shows the opposite trend.
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spelling doaj.art-7a9afec6072742f9b062f0ea36d6805f2023-11-23T15:00:05ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332022-09-01139146710.3390/atmos13091467Estimation of Potential Evapotranspiration in the Yellow River Basin Using Machine Learning ModelsJie Liu0Kunxia Yu1Peng Li2Lu Jia3Xiaoming Zhang4Zhi Yang5Yang Zhao6State Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region of China, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region of China, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region of China, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region of China, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100048, ChinaNingxia Soil and Water Conservation Monitoring Station, Yinchuan 750002, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100048, ChinaPotential evapotranspiration (<i>PET</i>) is an important input variable of many ecohydrological models, but commonly used empirical models usually input numerous meteorological factors. In consideration of machine learning for complex nonlinear learning, we evaluated the applicability of three machine learning algorithms in <i>PET</i> estimation in the Yellow River basin (YRB), in addition to determining significant factors affecting the accuracy of machine learning. Furthermore, the importance of meteorological factors at varying altitudes and drought index grades for <i>PET</i> simulation were evaluated. The results show that the accuracy of <i>PET</i> simulation in the YRB depends on the input of various meteorological factors; however, machine learning models including average temperature (<i>T<sub>mean</sub></i>) and sunshine hours (<i>n</i>) as input achieved satisfactory accuracy in the absence of complete meteorological data. Random forest generally performed best among all investigated models, followed by extreme learning machine, whereas empirical models overestimated or underestimated <i>PET</i>. The importance index shows that <i>T<sub>mean</sub></i> is the most influential factor with respect to <i>PET</i>, followed by <i>n</i>, and the influence of <i>T<sub>mean</sub></i> on <i>PET</i> gradually decreased with increased altitude and drier climate, whereas the influence of n shows the opposite trend.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/9/1467potential evapotranspirationmachine learningempirical modelimportance indexYellow River basin
spellingShingle Jie Liu
Kunxia Yu
Peng Li
Lu Jia
Xiaoming Zhang
Zhi Yang
Yang Zhao
Estimation of Potential Evapotranspiration in the Yellow River Basin Using Machine Learning Models
Atmosphere
potential evapotranspiration
machine learning
empirical model
importance index
Yellow River basin
title Estimation of Potential Evapotranspiration in the Yellow River Basin Using Machine Learning Models
title_full Estimation of Potential Evapotranspiration in the Yellow River Basin Using Machine Learning Models
title_fullStr Estimation of Potential Evapotranspiration in the Yellow River Basin Using Machine Learning Models
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of Potential Evapotranspiration in the Yellow River Basin Using Machine Learning Models
title_short Estimation of Potential Evapotranspiration in the Yellow River Basin Using Machine Learning Models
title_sort estimation of potential evapotranspiration in the yellow river basin using machine learning models
topic potential evapotranspiration
machine learning
empirical model
importance index
Yellow River basin
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/9/1467
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AT xiaomingzhang estimationofpotentialevapotranspirationintheyellowriverbasinusingmachinelearningmodels
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