The trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the Agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, 2000–2020
Revegetation practices have continued for nearly 20 years in the agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China (AENC), but it still remains unknown how human-induced efforts have contributed to vegetation restoration. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation coverage in the AENC durin...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2021-10-01
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| Series: | Ecological Indicators |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X21006695 |
| _version_ | 1818402020050075648 |
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| author | Hongwei Pei Mengzhu Liu Yugui Jia Hongjuan Zhang Yali Li Yuxiao Xiao |
| author_facet | Hongwei Pei Mengzhu Liu Yugui Jia Hongjuan Zhang Yali Li Yuxiao Xiao |
| author_sort | Hongwei Pei |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Revegetation practices have continued for nearly 20 years in the agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China (AENC), but it still remains unknown how human-induced efforts have contributed to vegetation restoration. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation coverage in the AENC during 2000–2020 in terms of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) using MODIS NDVI datasets, projected the future trend of vegetation variations, and was first to quantify the relative contributions of climatic and anthropogenic impacts on the vegetation variations in the AENC by residual analysis. The results showed that the vegetation in the AENC was greening in recent 20 years due to pronounced increases in NDVI at a rate of 0.00623 year−1, but the trend of vegetation greening was unsustainable as a whole, especially in the central AENC, where large areas of vegetation will degrade in the future. Specifically, anthropogenic and climatic impacts jointly determined vegetation greening in almost 89% of the AENC. Human activities, especially large-scale afforestation, was the most important driver that contributed to vegetation greening in the AENC as a result of the relative role of approximately 66% of NDVI variations (34% from climate change). Despite the significant expansion in forest coverage, excessive afforestation had complex and unpredictable impacts on vegetation growth, and hence the eco-restoraiton is better to make vegetation recover in its natural form. This study revealed a more significant NDVI uptrend in the AENC than previously understood, highlighted the decisive role of human activities in vegetation greening over the last 20 years, and was expected to offer a better understanding and information for local ecological restoration. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-14T08:01:43Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-7aaa5dd583564b729798279eef61cacb |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1470-160X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-14T08:01:43Z |
| publishDate | 2021-10-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecological Indicators |
| spelling | doaj.art-7aaa5dd583564b729798279eef61cacb2022-12-21T23:10:21ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2021-10-01129108004The trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the Agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, 2000–2020Hongwei Pei0Mengzhu Liu1Yugui Jia2Hongjuan Zhang3Yali Li4Yuxiao Xiao5Department of Municipal and Environmental Engineering, Hebei University of Architecture, Zhangjiakou 075000, China; Hebei Key Laboratory of Water Quality Engineering and Comprehensive Utilization of Water Resources, Zhangjiakou 075000, ChinaDepartment of Municipal and Environmental Engineering, Hebei University of Architecture, Zhangjiakou 075000, China; Hebei Key Laboratory of Water Quality Engineering and Comprehensive Utilization of Water Resources, Zhangjiakou 075000, China; Corresponding author.Department of Municipal and Environmental Engineering, Hebei University of Architecture, Zhangjiakou 075000, China; Hebei Key Laboratory of Water Quality Engineering and Comprehensive Utilization of Water Resources, Zhangjiakou 075000, ChinaDepartment of Municipal and Environmental Engineering, Hebei University of Architecture, Zhangjiakou 075000, China; Hebei Key Laboratory of Water Quality Engineering and Comprehensive Utilization of Water Resources, Zhangjiakou 075000, ChinaDepartment of Municipal and Environmental Engineering, Hebei University of Architecture, Zhangjiakou 075000, China; Hebei Key Laboratory of Water Quality Engineering and Comprehensive Utilization of Water Resources, Zhangjiakou 075000, ChinaDepartment of Municipal and Environmental Engineering, Hebei University of Architecture, Zhangjiakou 075000, China; Hebei Key Laboratory of Water Quality Engineering and Comprehensive Utilization of Water Resources, Zhangjiakou 075000, ChinaRevegetation practices have continued for nearly 20 years in the agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China (AENC), but it still remains unknown how human-induced efforts have contributed to vegetation restoration. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation coverage in the AENC during 2000–2020 in terms of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) using MODIS NDVI datasets, projected the future trend of vegetation variations, and was first to quantify the relative contributions of climatic and anthropogenic impacts on the vegetation variations in the AENC by residual analysis. The results showed that the vegetation in the AENC was greening in recent 20 years due to pronounced increases in NDVI at a rate of 0.00623 year−1, but the trend of vegetation greening was unsustainable as a whole, especially in the central AENC, where large areas of vegetation will degrade in the future. Specifically, anthropogenic and climatic impacts jointly determined vegetation greening in almost 89% of the AENC. Human activities, especially large-scale afforestation, was the most important driver that contributed to vegetation greening in the AENC as a result of the relative role of approximately 66% of NDVI variations (34% from climate change). Despite the significant expansion in forest coverage, excessive afforestation had complex and unpredictable impacts on vegetation growth, and hence the eco-restoraiton is better to make vegetation recover in its natural form. This study revealed a more significant NDVI uptrend in the AENC than previously understood, highlighted the decisive role of human activities in vegetation greening over the last 20 years, and was expected to offer a better understanding and information for local ecological restoration.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X21006695Vegetation greeningNormalized difference vegetation indexResidual analysisAfforestationAgro-pastoral ecotone |
| spellingShingle | Hongwei Pei Mengzhu Liu Yugui Jia Hongjuan Zhang Yali Li Yuxiao Xiao The trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the Agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, 2000–2020 Ecological Indicators Vegetation greening Normalized difference vegetation index Residual analysis Afforestation Agro-pastoral ecotone |
| title | The trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the Agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, 2000–2020 |
| title_full | The trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the Agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, 2000–2020 |
| title_fullStr | The trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the Agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, 2000–2020 |
| title_full_unstemmed | The trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the Agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, 2000–2020 |
| title_short | The trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the Agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, 2000–2020 |
| title_sort | trend of vegetation greening and its drivers in the agro pastoral ecotone of northern china 2000 2020 |
| topic | Vegetation greening Normalized difference vegetation index Residual analysis Afforestation Agro-pastoral ecotone |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X21006695 |
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