Measuring the Recovery Performance of a Portfolio of NPLs

The objective of the present paper is to propose a new method to measure the recovery performance of a portfolio of non-performing loans (NPLs) in terms of recovery rate and time to liquidate. The fundamental idea is to draw a curve representing the recovery rates over time, here assumed discretized...

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Main Authors: Alessandra Carleo, Roberto Rocci, Maria Sole Staffa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-02-01
Series:Computation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-3197/11/2/29
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author Alessandra Carleo
Roberto Rocci
Maria Sole Staffa
author_facet Alessandra Carleo
Roberto Rocci
Maria Sole Staffa
author_sort Alessandra Carleo
collection DOAJ
description The objective of the present paper is to propose a new method to measure the recovery performance of a portfolio of non-performing loans (NPLs) in terms of recovery rate and time to liquidate. The fundamental idea is to draw a curve representing the recovery rates over time, here assumed discretized, for example, in years. In this way, the user can get simultaneously information about recovery rate and time to liquidate of the portfolio. In particular, it is discussed how to estimate such a curve in the presence of right-censored data, e.g., when the NPLs composing the portfolio have been observed in different time periods, with a method based on an algorithm that is usually used in the construction of survival curves. The curves obtained are smoothed with nonparametric statistical learning techniques. The effectiveness of the proposal is shown by applying the method to simulated and real financial data. The latter are about some portfolios of Italian unsecured NPLs taken over by a specialized operator.
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spelling doaj.art-7abb2e21a5514b06a75476694857d9352023-11-16T19:52:53ZengMDPI AGComputation2079-31972023-02-011122910.3390/computation11020029Measuring the Recovery Performance of a Portfolio of NPLsAlessandra Carleo0Roberto Rocci1Maria Sole Staffa2Department of Business Economics, Roma Tre University, 00145 Rome, ItalyDepartment of Statistical Sciences, Sapienza University, 00185 Rome, ItalyHuman Sciences Department, European University of Rome, 00163 Rome, ItalyThe objective of the present paper is to propose a new method to measure the recovery performance of a portfolio of non-performing loans (NPLs) in terms of recovery rate and time to liquidate. The fundamental idea is to draw a curve representing the recovery rates over time, here assumed discretized, for example, in years. In this way, the user can get simultaneously information about recovery rate and time to liquidate of the portfolio. In particular, it is discussed how to estimate such a curve in the presence of right-censored data, e.g., when the NPLs composing the portfolio have been observed in different time periods, with a method based on an algorithm that is usually used in the construction of survival curves. The curves obtained are smoothed with nonparametric statistical learning techniques. The effectiveness of the proposal is shown by applying the method to simulated and real financial data. The latter are about some portfolios of Italian unsecured NPLs taken over by a specialized operator.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-3197/11/2/29recovery ratetime to liquidateNPLcensored data
spellingShingle Alessandra Carleo
Roberto Rocci
Maria Sole Staffa
Measuring the Recovery Performance of a Portfolio of NPLs
Computation
recovery rate
time to liquidate
NPL
censored data
title Measuring the Recovery Performance of a Portfolio of NPLs
title_full Measuring the Recovery Performance of a Portfolio of NPLs
title_fullStr Measuring the Recovery Performance of a Portfolio of NPLs
title_full_unstemmed Measuring the Recovery Performance of a Portfolio of NPLs
title_short Measuring the Recovery Performance of a Portfolio of NPLs
title_sort measuring the recovery performance of a portfolio of npls
topic recovery rate
time to liquidate
NPL
censored data
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-3197/11/2/29
work_keys_str_mv AT alessandracarleo measuringtherecoveryperformanceofaportfolioofnpls
AT robertorocci measuringtherecoveryperformanceofaportfolioofnpls
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