Assessing the invasion risk of Chelydra serpentina in China under current and future climate change scenarios

Chelydra serpentina, a species introduced to China for aquaculture purposes, is commonly found in its natural habitats within the country. The invasion of C. serpentina poses potential threats to both the biodiversity of China and human health. The potential distribution of C. serpentina has been si...

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Main Authors: Chaosheng Mu, Pipeng Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2023.1277058/full
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author Chaosheng Mu
Pipeng Li
author_facet Chaosheng Mu
Pipeng Li
author_sort Chaosheng Mu
collection DOAJ
description Chelydra serpentina, a species introduced to China for aquaculture purposes, is commonly found in its natural habitats within the country. The invasion of C. serpentina poses potential threats to both the biodiversity of China and human health. The potential distribution of C. serpentina has been simulated using the species distribution model – MaxEnt, incorporating global distribution data, climate, and land cover variables. Our simulations encompasses both current conditions and four future climate change scenarios. Currently, the potential distribution is concentrated in central, eastern, and southeastern regions of China, with the central and eastern regions facing the highest risk of invasion. Under future climate change scenarios, the distribution area may expand by 30–90%, and multiple provinces will face a more severe threat of invasion. This study presents the inaugural simulation of the potential invasion range of C. serpentina under current climatic conditions. Moreover, it reveals that climate change is likely to contribute to the expansion of its invasive range, thus furnishing a reference foundation for scientific prevention and control measures. We propose integrating citizen science and eDNA technologies into species monitoring to enhance the efficiency of detecting invasive species. This research has filled the gap in the research on the invasive distribution range of C. serpentina in China and globally, while also providing novel perspectives on the invasion control of this species.
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spelling doaj.art-7abd8a0f7ee1453b8ba5f96539676c9c2023-11-28T09:53:05ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution2296-701X2023-11-011110.3389/fevo.2023.12770581277058Assessing the invasion risk of Chelydra serpentina in China under current and future climate change scenariosChaosheng MuPipeng LiChelydra serpentina, a species introduced to China for aquaculture purposes, is commonly found in its natural habitats within the country. The invasion of C. serpentina poses potential threats to both the biodiversity of China and human health. The potential distribution of C. serpentina has been simulated using the species distribution model – MaxEnt, incorporating global distribution data, climate, and land cover variables. Our simulations encompasses both current conditions and four future climate change scenarios. Currently, the potential distribution is concentrated in central, eastern, and southeastern regions of China, with the central and eastern regions facing the highest risk of invasion. Under future climate change scenarios, the distribution area may expand by 30–90%, and multiple provinces will face a more severe threat of invasion. This study presents the inaugural simulation of the potential invasion range of C. serpentina under current climatic conditions. Moreover, it reveals that climate change is likely to contribute to the expansion of its invasive range, thus furnishing a reference foundation for scientific prevention and control measures. We propose integrating citizen science and eDNA technologies into species monitoring to enhance the efficiency of detecting invasive species. This research has filled the gap in the research on the invasive distribution range of C. serpentina in China and globally, while also providing novel perspectives on the invasion control of this species.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2023.1277058/fullChelydra serpentinainvasive alien speciesspecies distribution modelsclimate changepotential distributionmanagement
spellingShingle Chaosheng Mu
Pipeng Li
Assessing the invasion risk of Chelydra serpentina in China under current and future climate change scenarios
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
Chelydra serpentina
invasive alien species
species distribution models
climate change
potential distribution
management
title Assessing the invasion risk of Chelydra serpentina in China under current and future climate change scenarios
title_full Assessing the invasion risk of Chelydra serpentina in China under current and future climate change scenarios
title_fullStr Assessing the invasion risk of Chelydra serpentina in China under current and future climate change scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the invasion risk of Chelydra serpentina in China under current and future climate change scenarios
title_short Assessing the invasion risk of Chelydra serpentina in China under current and future climate change scenarios
title_sort assessing the invasion risk of chelydra serpentina in china under current and future climate change scenarios
topic Chelydra serpentina
invasive alien species
species distribution models
climate change
potential distribution
management
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2023.1277058/full
work_keys_str_mv AT chaoshengmu assessingtheinvasionriskofchelydraserpentinainchinaundercurrentandfutureclimatechangescenarios
AT pipengli assessingtheinvasionriskofchelydraserpentinainchinaundercurrentandfutureclimatechangescenarios