Wager on Global Food Prices 2001–2020: Who Won and What Does it Mean?

This paper presents the results of a 2011 wager between Stan Becker and David Lam about the trajectory of world food prices for the period 2011–2020 versus the period 2002–2010. The wager was a response to Lam’s 2011 presidential address to the Population Association of America, which showed that ma...

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Main Authors: Stan Becker, David Lam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The White Horse Press 2021-12-01
Series:The Journal of Population and Sustainability
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.whp-journals.co.uk/JPS/article/view/691
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author Stan Becker
David Lam
author_facet Stan Becker
David Lam
author_sort Stan Becker
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents the results of a 2011 wager between Stan Becker and David Lam about the trajectory of world food prices for the period 2011–2020 versus the period 2002–2010. The wager was a response to Lam’s 2011 presidential address to the Population Association of America, which showed that many health and socio-demographic indicators had improved over the previous fifty years, in spite of the addition of four billion people to the world’s population. Lam lost the wager, with the Food and Agriculture Organization’s price index for five food groups averaging about twenty per cent higher for 2011–2020 than for 2001–2010. Becker and Lam discuss the background of the wager, give their differing interpretations of the outcome and discuss future trends in population, food production and food prices. Lam gives a more optimistic perspective on future trends, while Becker raises concerns about rapid degradation of planetary ecosystems, species loss and global warming.
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spelling doaj.art-7ad444d839224461a573fbf6efb8da612023-04-28T09:04:45ZengThe White Horse PressThe Journal of Population and Sustainability2398-54882398-54962021-12-01619910810.3197/JPS.63772238772430618Wager on Global Food Prices 2001–2020: Who Won and What Does it Mean?Stan Becker0David Lam1Johns Hopkins UniveristyUniversity of MichiganThis paper presents the results of a 2011 wager between Stan Becker and David Lam about the trajectory of world food prices for the period 2011–2020 versus the period 2002–2010. The wager was a response to Lam’s 2011 presidential address to the Population Association of America, which showed that many health and socio-demographic indicators had improved over the previous fifty years, in spite of the addition of four billion people to the world’s population. Lam lost the wager, with the Food and Agriculture Organization’s price index for five food groups averaging about twenty per cent higher for 2011–2020 than for 2001–2010. Becker and Lam discuss the background of the wager, give their differing interpretations of the outcome and discuss future trends in population, food production and food prices. Lam gives a more optimistic perspective on future trends, while Becker raises concerns about rapid degradation of planetary ecosystems, species loss and global warming.https://www.whp-journals.co.uk/JPS/article/view/691food pricespopulationwagereconomicsecology
spellingShingle Stan Becker
David Lam
Wager on Global Food Prices 2001–2020: Who Won and What Does it Mean?
The Journal of Population and Sustainability
food prices
population
wager
economics
ecology
title Wager on Global Food Prices 2001–2020: Who Won and What Does it Mean?
title_full Wager on Global Food Prices 2001–2020: Who Won and What Does it Mean?
title_fullStr Wager on Global Food Prices 2001–2020: Who Won and What Does it Mean?
title_full_unstemmed Wager on Global Food Prices 2001–2020: Who Won and What Does it Mean?
title_short Wager on Global Food Prices 2001–2020: Who Won and What Does it Mean?
title_sort wager on global food prices 2001 2020 who won and what does it mean
topic food prices
population
wager
economics
ecology
url https://www.whp-journals.co.uk/JPS/article/view/691
work_keys_str_mv AT stanbecker wageronglobalfoodprices20012020whowonandwhatdoesitmean
AT davidlam wageronglobalfoodprices20012020whowonandwhatdoesitmean