Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine

The aim of this paper is to examine the reaction of South Eastern European stock markets to the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine. With a sample of seven stock market indices, the event study methodology is applied to examine the influence of the conflict between two countries on European gr...

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Main Authors: Mojanoski Goran, Bucevska Vesna
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Croatian Statistical Association 2022-12-01
Series:Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2022-0007
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author Mojanoski Goran
Bucevska Vesna
author_facet Mojanoski Goran
Bucevska Vesna
author_sort Mojanoski Goran
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this paper is to examine the reaction of South Eastern European stock markets to the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine. With a sample of seven stock market indices, the event study methodology is applied to examine the influence of the conflict between two countries on European ground over stock indices of emerging markets in South Eastern Europe. Results indicate that beginning of the conflict in late February brought a very strong significant price correction and stock markets in the examined countries became maximum oscillatory and subjected to light and rapid changes on a daily level. The findings contribute to the research on economic impact of the armed conflict by providing empirical evidence that conflict between two European (Non-European Union members) countries has spill-over effects on stock markets on other European (European Union members and Non-European Union members) countries. The findings have important implications for portfolio diversification and thus can serve in the asset allocation decision of investment managers.
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spelling doaj.art-7adfdd4d6e624ea9b2467e81c13069532024-03-03T08:37:51ZengCroatian Statistical AssociationCroatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics2459-56162022-12-0182182710.2478/crebss-2022-0007Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and UkraineMojanoski Goran0Bucevska Vesna1Republic of North MacedoniaFaculty of Economics, Ss. Cyril and Methodius University, Republic of MacedoniaThe aim of this paper is to examine the reaction of South Eastern European stock markets to the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine. With a sample of seven stock market indices, the event study methodology is applied to examine the influence of the conflict between two countries on European ground over stock indices of emerging markets in South Eastern Europe. Results indicate that beginning of the conflict in late February brought a very strong significant price correction and stock markets in the examined countries became maximum oscillatory and subjected to light and rapid changes on a daily level. The findings contribute to the research on economic impact of the armed conflict by providing empirical evidence that conflict between two European (Non-European Union members) countries has spill-over effects on stock markets on other European (European Union members and Non-European Union members) countries. The findings have important implications for portfolio diversification and thus can serve in the asset allocation decision of investment managers.https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2022-0007emerging marketsevent study methodologystock indiceswar interventionc10g14
spellingShingle Mojanoski Goran
Bucevska Vesna
Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine
Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics
emerging markets
event study methodology
stock indices
war intervention
c10
g14
title Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine
title_full Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine
title_fullStr Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine
title_full_unstemmed Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine
title_short Event study on the reaction of the Balkan stock markets to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine
title_sort event study on the reaction of the balkan stock markets to the conflict between russia and ukraine
topic emerging markets
event study methodology
stock indices
war intervention
c10
g14
url https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2022-0007
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