Uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operações de crédito de varejo no Brasil

The development of scoring models for credit risk management and behaviour analysis of clients is quite important in the routine of commercial banks, financing companies, credit card operations, marketing units and large department stores. Statistical techniques such as logistic regression, discrim...

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Main Authors: Luis Fernando Landa Lecumberri, Antonio Marcos Duarte Júnior
Format: Article
Language:Portuguese
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 2003-08-01
Series:Economia Aplicada
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220228
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author Luis Fernando Landa Lecumberri
Antonio Marcos Duarte Júnior
author_facet Luis Fernando Landa Lecumberri
Antonio Marcos Duarte Júnior
author_sort Luis Fernando Landa Lecumberri
collection DOAJ
description The development of scoring models for credit risk management and behaviour analysis of clients is quite important in the routine of commercial banks, financing companies, credit card operations, marketing units and large department stores. Statistical techniques such as logistic regression, discriminant analysis, decision trees etc., have dominated the literature when the subject is related to credit modelling. An important point remains ignored, however: tracking the performance of theses models and validating their predictive ability after their implementation. In this article we present a methodology to track the stability of credit and behaviour scoring models, checking their predictions through time, in order to avoid problems when granting credit for clients. Several examples are presented in order to illustrate the practical use of our proposal. Our proposal seeks to generate actions to avoid possible operational and modelling failures related to these models, suggesting in some cases that these models be replaced by new models.
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spelling doaj.art-7af4119fceb849e2881f5120b535627b2023-12-13T16:13:12ZporUniversidade de São PauloEconomia Aplicada1413-80501980-53302003-08-0174Uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operações de crédito de varejo no BrasilLuis Fernando Landa Lecumberri0Antonio Marcos Duarte Júnior1Unibanco S. A.Instituto Brasileiro de Mercado de Capitais The development of scoring models for credit risk management and behaviour analysis of clients is quite important in the routine of commercial banks, financing companies, credit card operations, marketing units and large department stores. Statistical techniques such as logistic regression, discriminant analysis, decision trees etc., have dominated the literature when the subject is related to credit modelling. An important point remains ignored, however: tracking the performance of theses models and validating their predictive ability after their implementation. In this article we present a methodology to track the stability of credit and behaviour scoring models, checking their predictions through time, in order to avoid problems when granting credit for clients. Several examples are presented in order to illustrate the practical use of our proposal. Our proposal seeks to generate actions to avoid possible operational and modelling failures related to these models, suggesting in some cases that these models be replaced by new models. https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220228creditrisk managementcredit modellingcredit scoringbehaviour scoring
spellingShingle Luis Fernando Landa Lecumberri
Antonio Marcos Duarte Júnior
Uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operações de crédito de varejo no Brasil
Economia Aplicada
credit
risk management
credit modelling
credit scoring
behaviour scoring
title Uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operações de crédito de varejo no Brasil
title_full Uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operações de crédito de varejo no Brasil
title_fullStr Uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operações de crédito de varejo no Brasil
title_full_unstemmed Uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operações de crédito de varejo no Brasil
title_short Uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operações de crédito de varejo no Brasil
title_sort uma metodologia para o gerenciamento de modelos de escoragem em operacoes de credito de varejo no brasil
topic credit
risk management
credit modelling
credit scoring
behaviour scoring
url https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220228
work_keys_str_mv AT luisfernandolandalecumberri umametodologiaparaogerenciamentodemodelosdeescoragememoperacoesdecreditodevarejonobrasil
AT antoniomarcosduartejunior umametodologiaparaogerenciamentodemodelosdeescoragememoperacoesdecreditodevarejonobrasil