Predictors of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Shrinkage after Endovascular Repair

Recent studies demonstrate that patients with a shrinking abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), one-year after endovascular repair (EVAR), have better long-term outcomes than patients with a stable AAA. It is not known what factors determine whether an AAA will shrink or not. In this study, a range of pa...

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Main Authors: Rianne E. van Rijswijk, Erik Groot Jebbink, Suzanne Holewijn, Nicky Stoop, Steven M. van Sterkenburg, Michel M. P. J. Reijnen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-03-01
Series:Journal of Clinical Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/11/5/1394
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author Rianne E. van Rijswijk
Erik Groot Jebbink
Suzanne Holewijn
Nicky Stoop
Steven M. van Sterkenburg
Michel M. P. J. Reijnen
author_facet Rianne E. van Rijswijk
Erik Groot Jebbink
Suzanne Holewijn
Nicky Stoop
Steven M. van Sterkenburg
Michel M. P. J. Reijnen
author_sort Rianne E. van Rijswijk
collection DOAJ
description Recent studies demonstrate that patients with a shrinking abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), one-year after endovascular repair (EVAR), have better long-term outcomes than patients with a stable AAA. It is not known what factors determine whether an AAA will shrink or not. In this study, a range of parameters was investigated to identify their use in differentiating patients that will develop a shrinking AAA from those with a stable AAA one-year after EVAR. Hundred-seventy-four patients (67 shrinking AAA, 107 stable AAA) who underwent elective, infrarenal EVAR were enrolled between 2011–2018. Long-term survival was significantly better in patients with a shrinking AAA, compared to those with a stable AAA (<i>p</i> = 0.038). Larger preoperative maximum AAA diameter was associated with an increased likelihood of developing AAA shrinkage one-year after EVAR—whereas older age and larger preoperative infrarenal β angle were associated with a reduced likelihood of AAA shrinkage. However, this multivariate logistic regression model was only able to correctly identify 66.7% of patients with AAA shrinkage from the total cohort. This is not sufficient for implementation in clinical care, and therefore future research is recommended to dive deeper into AAA anatomy, and explore potential predictors using artificial intelligence and radiomics.
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spelling doaj.art-7b5b9b0bc0c74659adbcea452f3ee9f72023-11-23T23:15:14ZengMDPI AGJournal of Clinical Medicine2077-03832022-03-01115139410.3390/jcm11051394Predictors of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Shrinkage after Endovascular RepairRianne E. van Rijswijk0Erik Groot Jebbink1Suzanne Holewijn2Nicky Stoop3Steven M. van Sterkenburg4Michel M. P. J. Reijnen5Department of Vascular Surgery, Rijnstate, 6815 AD Arnhem, The NetherlandsDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Rijnstate, 6815 AD Arnhem, The NetherlandsDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Rijnstate, 6815 AD Arnhem, The NetherlandsDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Rijnstate, 6815 AD Arnhem, The NetherlandsDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Rijnstate, 6815 AD Arnhem, The NetherlandsDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Rijnstate, 6815 AD Arnhem, The NetherlandsRecent studies demonstrate that patients with a shrinking abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), one-year after endovascular repair (EVAR), have better long-term outcomes than patients with a stable AAA. It is not known what factors determine whether an AAA will shrink or not. In this study, a range of parameters was investigated to identify their use in differentiating patients that will develop a shrinking AAA from those with a stable AAA one-year after EVAR. Hundred-seventy-four patients (67 shrinking AAA, 107 stable AAA) who underwent elective, infrarenal EVAR were enrolled between 2011–2018. Long-term survival was significantly better in patients with a shrinking AAA, compared to those with a stable AAA (<i>p</i> = 0.038). Larger preoperative maximum AAA diameter was associated with an increased likelihood of developing AAA shrinkage one-year after EVAR—whereas older age and larger preoperative infrarenal β angle were associated with a reduced likelihood of AAA shrinkage. However, this multivariate logistic regression model was only able to correctly identify 66.7% of patients with AAA shrinkage from the total cohort. This is not sufficient for implementation in clinical care, and therefore future research is recommended to dive deeper into AAA anatomy, and explore potential predictors using artificial intelligence and radiomics.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/11/5/1394AAAEVARremodelingshrinkageregressionprediction
spellingShingle Rianne E. van Rijswijk
Erik Groot Jebbink
Suzanne Holewijn
Nicky Stoop
Steven M. van Sterkenburg
Michel M. P. J. Reijnen
Predictors of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Shrinkage after Endovascular Repair
Journal of Clinical Medicine
AAA
EVAR
remodeling
shrinkage
regression
prediction
title Predictors of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Shrinkage after Endovascular Repair
title_full Predictors of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Shrinkage after Endovascular Repair
title_fullStr Predictors of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Shrinkage after Endovascular Repair
title_full_unstemmed Predictors of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Shrinkage after Endovascular Repair
title_short Predictors of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Shrinkage after Endovascular Repair
title_sort predictors of abdominal aortic aneurysm shrinkage after endovascular repair
topic AAA
EVAR
remodeling
shrinkage
regression
prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/11/5/1394
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AT erikgrootjebbink predictorsofabdominalaorticaneurysmshrinkageafterendovascularrepair
AT suzanneholewijn predictorsofabdominalaorticaneurysmshrinkageafterendovascularrepair
AT nickystoop predictorsofabdominalaorticaneurysmshrinkageafterendovascularrepair
AT stevenmvansterkenburg predictorsofabdominalaorticaneurysmshrinkageafterendovascularrepair
AT michelmpjreijnen predictorsofabdominalaorticaneurysmshrinkageafterendovascularrepair