Market power risk prevention mechanism of China’s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamics

The construction of China’s power spot market is still in its early stage, with a high concentration on generation-side resources and frequent market power. It is urgent to establish risk prevention mechanisms for the generation of market power. First, the paper establishes a basic framework of the...

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Main Authors: Jingdong Xie, Bowen Guan, Yin Yao, Ruizhen Li, Quan Shi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Energy Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1270681/full
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author Jingdong Xie
Bowen Guan
Yin Yao
Ruizhen Li
Quan Shi
author_facet Jingdong Xie
Bowen Guan
Yin Yao
Ruizhen Li
Quan Shi
author_sort Jingdong Xie
collection DOAJ
description The construction of China’s power spot market is still in its early stage, with a high concentration on generation-side resources and frequent market power. It is urgent to establish risk prevention mechanisms for the generation of market power. First, the paper establishes a basic framework of the stochastic evolutionary game theory and then builds a “stochastic evolutionary game market-clearing” model for the market regulator and risk units. Second, the work provides a library of multi-dimensional monitoring and evaluation indicators for the regulator and creates a quantitative risk prevention strategy for the power spot market in China. Finally, an evolutionary dynamic analysis is conducted on players’ strategic evolution space and changes in market risks. Based on a simulation of actual data from an electricity market in China, it turns out that the generation-side market power risk prevention mechanism can lower market transaction and operational risks in a variety of power supply–demand scenarios. The study theoretically supports the development of market power risk prevention and provides more realistic insights into China’s power spot market as well.
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spelling doaj.art-7b7b979c946142ceac3cb7b73db92e2f2023-11-14T13:35:41ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Energy Research2296-598X2023-11-011110.3389/fenrg.2023.12706811270681Market power risk prevention mechanism of China’s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamicsJingdong Xie0Bowen Guan1Yin Yao2Ruizhen Li3Quan Shi4College of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai, ChinaThe construction of China’s power spot market is still in its early stage, with a high concentration on generation-side resources and frequent market power. It is urgent to establish risk prevention mechanisms for the generation of market power. First, the paper establishes a basic framework of the stochastic evolutionary game theory and then builds a “stochastic evolutionary game market-clearing” model for the market regulator and risk units. Second, the work provides a library of multi-dimensional monitoring and evaluation indicators for the regulator and creates a quantitative risk prevention strategy for the power spot market in China. Finally, an evolutionary dynamic analysis is conducted on players’ strategic evolution space and changes in market risks. Based on a simulation of actual data from an electricity market in China, it turns out that the generation-side market power risk prevention mechanism can lower market transaction and operational risks in a variety of power supply–demand scenarios. The study theoretically supports the development of market power risk prevention and provides more realistic insights into China’s power spot market as well.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1270681/fullstochastic evolutionary gamepower spot marketmarket power riskadaptive prevention strategyoptimal market clearing
spellingShingle Jingdong Xie
Bowen Guan
Yin Yao
Ruizhen Li
Quan Shi
Market power risk prevention mechanism of China’s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamics
Frontiers in Energy Research
stochastic evolutionary game
power spot market
market power risk
adaptive prevention strategy
optimal market clearing
title Market power risk prevention mechanism of China’s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamics
title_full Market power risk prevention mechanism of China’s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamics
title_fullStr Market power risk prevention mechanism of China’s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Market power risk prevention mechanism of China’s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamics
title_short Market power risk prevention mechanism of China’s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamics
title_sort market power risk prevention mechanism of china s electricity spot market based on stochastic evolutionary game dynamics
topic stochastic evolutionary game
power spot market
market power risk
adaptive prevention strategy
optimal market clearing
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1270681/full
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AT yinyao marketpowerriskpreventionmechanismofchinaselectricityspotmarketbasedonstochasticevolutionarygamedynamics
AT ruizhenli marketpowerriskpreventionmechanismofchinaselectricityspotmarketbasedonstochasticevolutionarygamedynamics
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