Predictive Control of a Real Residential Heating System with Short-Term Solar Power Forecast
Predictive control has great potential in the home energy management domain. However, such controls need reliable predictions of the system dynamics as well as energy consumption and generation, and the actual implementation in the real system is associated with many challenges. This paper presents...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2023-10-01
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| Series: | Energies |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/19/6980 |
| _version_ | 1797575893402517504 |
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| author | Oscar Villegas Mier Anna Dittmann Wiebke Herzberg Holger Ruf Elke Lorenz Michael Schmidt Rainer Gasper |
| author_facet | Oscar Villegas Mier Anna Dittmann Wiebke Herzberg Holger Ruf Elke Lorenz Michael Schmidt Rainer Gasper |
| author_sort | Oscar Villegas Mier |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Predictive control has great potential in the home energy management domain. However, such controls need reliable predictions of the system dynamics as well as energy consumption and generation, and the actual implementation in the real system is associated with many challenges. This paper presents the implementation of predictive controls for a heat pump with thermal storage in a real single-family house with a photovoltaic rooftop system. The predictive controls make use of a novel cloud camera-based short-term solar energy prediction and an intraday prediction system that includes additional data sources. In addition, machine learning methods were used to model the dynamics of the heating system and predict loads using extensive measured data. The results of the real and simulated operation will be presented. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T21:45:47Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-7b92b4a4432543dc9b3656600d20406b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1996-1073 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T21:45:47Z |
| publishDate | 2023-10-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Energies |
| spelling | doaj.art-7b92b4a4432543dc9b3656600d20406b2023-11-19T14:21:32ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732023-10-011619698010.3390/en16196980Predictive Control of a Real Residential Heating System with Short-Term Solar Power ForecastOscar Villegas Mier0Anna Dittmann1Wiebke Herzberg2Holger Ruf3Elke Lorenz4Michael Schmidt5Rainer Gasper6Institut für Nachhaltige Energiesysteme, Hochschule Offenburg, 77652 Offenburg, GermanyFraunhofer Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE, 79110 Freiburg, GermanyFraunhofer Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE, 79110 Freiburg, GermanyP3R GmbH, 89077 Ulm, GermanyFraunhofer Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE, 79110 Freiburg, GermanyInstitut für Nachhaltige Energiesysteme, Hochschule Offenburg, 77652 Offenburg, GermanyInstitut für Nachhaltige Energiesysteme, Hochschule Offenburg, 77652 Offenburg, GermanyPredictive control has great potential in the home energy management domain. However, such controls need reliable predictions of the system dynamics as well as energy consumption and generation, and the actual implementation in the real system is associated with many challenges. This paper presents the implementation of predictive controls for a heat pump with thermal storage in a real single-family house with a photovoltaic rooftop system. The predictive controls make use of a novel cloud camera-based short-term solar energy prediction and an intraday prediction system that includes additional data sources. In addition, machine learning methods were used to model the dynamics of the heating system and predict loads using extensive measured data. The results of the real and simulated operation will be presented.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/19/6980predictive controlPV power forecastshort-term solar forecastheat pumpmodel predictive controlneural networks |
| spellingShingle | Oscar Villegas Mier Anna Dittmann Wiebke Herzberg Holger Ruf Elke Lorenz Michael Schmidt Rainer Gasper Predictive Control of a Real Residential Heating System with Short-Term Solar Power Forecast Energies predictive control PV power forecast short-term solar forecast heat pump model predictive control neural networks |
| title | Predictive Control of a Real Residential Heating System with Short-Term Solar Power Forecast |
| title_full | Predictive Control of a Real Residential Heating System with Short-Term Solar Power Forecast |
| title_fullStr | Predictive Control of a Real Residential Heating System with Short-Term Solar Power Forecast |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predictive Control of a Real Residential Heating System with Short-Term Solar Power Forecast |
| title_short | Predictive Control of a Real Residential Heating System with Short-Term Solar Power Forecast |
| title_sort | predictive control of a real residential heating system with short term solar power forecast |
| topic | predictive control PV power forecast short-term solar forecast heat pump model predictive control neural networks |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/19/6980 |
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