Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic vis-à-vis Some Socio-Economic Factors

The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on the socio-economic status of countries around the world should not be underestimated, when we consider the role it has played in various countries. Many people were unemployed, many households were careful about their spending, and a greater social divide in th...

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Main Authors: Kayode Oshinubi, Mustapha Rachdi, Jacques Demongeot
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fams.2021.786983/full
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author Kayode Oshinubi
Mustapha Rachdi
Jacques Demongeot
author_facet Kayode Oshinubi
Mustapha Rachdi
Jacques Demongeot
author_sort Kayode Oshinubi
collection DOAJ
description The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on the socio-economic status of countries around the world should not be underestimated, when we consider the role it has played in various countries. Many people were unemployed, many households were careful about their spending, and a greater social divide in the population emerged in 14 different countries from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and from Africa (that is, in developed and developing countries) for which we have considered the epidemiological data on the spread of infection during the first and second waves, as well as their socio-economic data. We established a mathematical relationship between Theil and Gini indices, then we investigated the relationship between epidemiological data and socio-economic determinants, using several machine learning and deep learning methods. High correlations were observed between some of the socio-economic and epidemiological parameters and we predicted three of the socio-economic variables in order to validate our results. These results show a clear difference between the first and the second wave of the pandemic, confirming the impact of the real dynamics of the epidemic’s spread in several countries and the means by which it was mitigated.
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spelling doaj.art-7be9057d4b5a4bfe9cc28a0691a6b8342022-12-22T04:04:11ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics2297-46872022-01-01710.3389/fams.2021.786983786983Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic vis-à-vis Some Socio-Economic FactorsKayode OshinubiMustapha RachdiJacques DemongeotThe impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on the socio-economic status of countries around the world should not be underestimated, when we consider the role it has played in various countries. Many people were unemployed, many households were careful about their spending, and a greater social divide in the population emerged in 14 different countries from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and from Africa (that is, in developed and developing countries) for which we have considered the epidemiological data on the spread of infection during the first and second waves, as well as their socio-economic data. We established a mathematical relationship between Theil and Gini indices, then we investigated the relationship between epidemiological data and socio-economic determinants, using several machine learning and deep learning methods. High correlations were observed between some of the socio-economic and epidemiological parameters and we predicted three of the socio-economic variables in order to validate our results. These results show a clear difference between the first and the second wave of the pandemic, confirming the impact of the real dynamics of the epidemic’s spread in several countries and the means by which it was mitigated.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fams.2021.786983/fullCOVID-19regressionsocio-economic factorsmachine learningdata analysis
spellingShingle Kayode Oshinubi
Mustapha Rachdi
Jacques Demongeot
Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic vis-à-vis Some Socio-Economic Factors
Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
COVID-19
regression
socio-economic factors
machine learning
data analysis
title Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic vis-à-vis Some Socio-Economic Factors
title_full Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic vis-à-vis Some Socio-Economic Factors
title_fullStr Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic vis-à-vis Some Socio-Economic Factors
title_full_unstemmed Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic vis-à-vis Some Socio-Economic Factors
title_short Modeling of COVID-19 Pandemic vis-à-vis Some Socio-Economic Factors
title_sort modeling of covid 19 pandemic vis a vis some socio economic factors
topic COVID-19
regression
socio-economic factors
machine learning
data analysis
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fams.2021.786983/full
work_keys_str_mv AT kayodeoshinubi modelingofcovid19pandemicvisavissomesocioeconomicfactors
AT mustapharachdi modelingofcovid19pandemicvisavissomesocioeconomicfactors
AT jacquesdemongeot modelingofcovid19pandemicvisavissomesocioeconomicfactors