Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial Intelligence

The paper presents the results of artificial neural networks application to the availability indicator prediction. The forecasted results indicate that artificial networks may be used to model the reliability level of the water supply systems. The network was trained using 147 and 173 operational da...

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Main Author: Kutyłowska Małgorzata
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2017-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20171700049
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author Kutyłowska Małgorzata
author_facet Kutyłowska Małgorzata
author_sort Kutyłowska Małgorzata
collection DOAJ
description The paper presents the results of artificial neural networks application to the availability indicator prediction. The forecasted results indicate that artificial networks may be used to model the reliability level of the water supply systems. The network was trained using 147 and 173 operational data from one Polish medium-sized city (distribution pipes and house connections, respectively). 50% of all data was chosen for learning, 25% for testing and 25% for validation. In prognosis phase, the best created network used 100% of 114 and 133 values for testing. Following functions were used to activate neurons in hidden and output layers: linear, logistic, hyperbolic tangent, exponential. The learning of the artificial network was performed using following input parameters: material, total length, diameter. In the optimal models hyperbolic tangent was chosen to activate the hidden and output neurons in modeling the availability indicator of house connections during 68 epochs of training. Hidden and output neurons were activated (20 epochs of learning) respectively by hyperbolic tangent and linear function during the prediction of availability indicator of distribution pipes. The maximum relative errors in learning and prognosis step were equal to 0.10% and 1.20% as well as 0.27% and 1.15% for distribution pipes and house connections, respectively.
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spelling doaj.art-7c07db9fc9cf4b469c2b14e2e2e13ec02022-12-21T20:29:46ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422017-01-01170004910.1051/e3sconf/20171700049e3sconf_eko2017_00049Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial IntelligenceKutyłowska Małgorzata0Wrocław University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Environmental EngineeringThe paper presents the results of artificial neural networks application to the availability indicator prediction. The forecasted results indicate that artificial networks may be used to model the reliability level of the water supply systems. The network was trained using 147 and 173 operational data from one Polish medium-sized city (distribution pipes and house connections, respectively). 50% of all data was chosen for learning, 25% for testing and 25% for validation. In prognosis phase, the best created network used 100% of 114 and 133 values for testing. Following functions were used to activate neurons in hidden and output layers: linear, logistic, hyperbolic tangent, exponential. The learning of the artificial network was performed using following input parameters: material, total length, diameter. In the optimal models hyperbolic tangent was chosen to activate the hidden and output neurons in modeling the availability indicator of house connections during 68 epochs of training. Hidden and output neurons were activated (20 epochs of learning) respectively by hyperbolic tangent and linear function during the prediction of availability indicator of distribution pipes. The maximum relative errors in learning and prognosis step were equal to 0.10% and 1.20% as well as 0.27% and 1.15% for distribution pipes and house connections, respectively.https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20171700049
spellingShingle Kutyłowska Małgorzata
Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial Intelligence
E3S Web of Conferences
title Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial Intelligence
title_full Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial Intelligence
title_fullStr Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial Intelligence
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial Intelligence
title_short Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial Intelligence
title_sort prediction of availability indicator of water pipes using artificial intelligence
url https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20171700049
work_keys_str_mv AT kutyłowskamałgorzata predictionofavailabilityindicatorofwaterpipesusingartificialintelligence