Non-Linear Macroeconomic Models of Growth with Memory

In this article, two well-known standard models with continuous time, which are proposed by two Nobel laureates in economics, Robert M. Solow and Robert E. Lucas, are generalized. The continuous time standard models of economic growth do not account for memory effects. Mathematically, this is due to...

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Main Author: Vasily E. Tarasov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-11-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/11/2078
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author Vasily E. Tarasov
author_facet Vasily E. Tarasov
author_sort Vasily E. Tarasov
collection DOAJ
description In this article, two well-known standard models with continuous time, which are proposed by two Nobel laureates in economics, Robert M. Solow and Robert E. Lucas, are generalized. The continuous time standard models of economic growth do not account for memory effects. Mathematically, this is due to the fact that these models describe equations with derivatives of integer orders. These derivatives are determined by the properties of the function in an infinitely small neighborhood of the considered time. In this article, we proposed two non-linear models of economic growth with memory, for which equations are derived and solutions of these equations are obtained. In the differential equations of these models, instead of the derivative of integer order, fractional derivatives of non-integer order are used, which allow describing long memory with power-law fading. Exact solutions for these non-linear fractional differential equations are obtained. The purpose of this article is to study the influence of memory effects on the rate of economic growth using the proposed simple models with memory as examples. As the methods of this study, exact solutions of fractional differential equations of the proposed models are used. We prove that the effects of memory can significantly (several times) change the growth rate, when other parameters of the model are unchanged.
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spelling doaj.art-7c36c71ef8af4a18902a8cffde3b0e232023-11-20T21:49:11ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902020-11-01811207810.3390/math8112078Non-Linear Macroeconomic Models of Growth with MemoryVasily E. Tarasov0Skobeltsyn Institute of Nuclear Physics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow 119991, RussiaIn this article, two well-known standard models with continuous time, which are proposed by two Nobel laureates in economics, Robert M. Solow and Robert E. Lucas, are generalized. The continuous time standard models of economic growth do not account for memory effects. Mathematically, this is due to the fact that these models describe equations with derivatives of integer orders. These derivatives are determined by the properties of the function in an infinitely small neighborhood of the considered time. In this article, we proposed two non-linear models of economic growth with memory, for which equations are derived and solutions of these equations are obtained. In the differential equations of these models, instead of the derivative of integer order, fractional derivatives of non-integer order are used, which allow describing long memory with power-law fading. Exact solutions for these non-linear fractional differential equations are obtained. The purpose of this article is to study the influence of memory effects on the rate of economic growth using the proposed simple models with memory as examples. As the methods of this study, exact solutions of fractional differential equations of the proposed models are used. We prove that the effects of memory can significantly (several times) change the growth rate, when other parameters of the model are unchanged.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/11/2078fractional differential equationgrowth modelfading memoryfractional derivativesolow model
spellingShingle Vasily E. Tarasov
Non-Linear Macroeconomic Models of Growth with Memory
Mathematics
fractional differential equation
growth model
fading memory
fractional derivative
solow model
title Non-Linear Macroeconomic Models of Growth with Memory
title_full Non-Linear Macroeconomic Models of Growth with Memory
title_fullStr Non-Linear Macroeconomic Models of Growth with Memory
title_full_unstemmed Non-Linear Macroeconomic Models of Growth with Memory
title_short Non-Linear Macroeconomic Models of Growth with Memory
title_sort non linear macroeconomic models of growth with memory
topic fractional differential equation
growth model
fading memory
fractional derivative
solow model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/11/2078
work_keys_str_mv AT vasilyetarasov nonlinearmacroeconomicmodelsofgrowthwithmemory