Value-based scenario planning: exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management

The multifaceted dynamics of values underpin many social-ecological challenges, but there are limited approaches for grappling with them. Participatory scenario planning can be a useful tool to explore and evaluate different approaches in natural disaster management. We developed value-based scenari...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Andrea Rawluk, Rebecca M. Ford, Kathryn J. H. Williams
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Resilience Alliance 2018-12-01
Series:Ecology and Society
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol23/iss4/art2/
_version_ 1819001167439462400
author Andrea Rawluk
Rebecca M. Ford
Kathryn J. H. Williams
author_facet Andrea Rawluk
Rebecca M. Ford
Kathryn J. H. Williams
author_sort Andrea Rawluk
collection DOAJ
description The multifaceted dynamics of values underpin many social-ecological challenges, but there are limited approaches for grappling with them. Participatory scenario planning can be a useful tool to explore and evaluate different approaches in natural disaster management. We developed value-based scenario planning as a general framework and process and applied it to the context of bushfire management in Victoria, Australia. From our application, three scenarios resulted: developing self-reliant people and communities; a safe society: separating people and fuel; and living with nature and bushfire. We found that values could guide the development of relatable scenarios and that value-based scenarios supported the understanding of complex relationships between abstract and concrete values and natural disaster management and planning. We found that scenarios led people to think outside of their area of comfort and fostered reflection, discussion, and consideration for how to bridge value differences. Future applications of value-based scenarios could support communication between decision-making agencies and the public in the face of uncertainty, complexity, and value conflict.
first_indexed 2024-12-20T22:44:54Z
format Article
id doaj.art-7c4a467de9174f05845f02a6f35be38b
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1708-3087
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-20T22:44:54Z
publishDate 2018-12-01
publisher Resilience Alliance
record_format Article
series Ecology and Society
spelling doaj.art-7c4a467de9174f05845f02a6f35be38b2022-12-21T19:24:24ZengResilience AllianceEcology and Society1708-30872018-12-01234210.5751/ES-10447-23040210447Value-based scenario planning: exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and managementAndrea Rawluk0Rebecca M. Ford1Kathryn J. H. Williams2School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of MelbourneSchool of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of MelbourneSchool of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of MelbourneThe multifaceted dynamics of values underpin many social-ecological challenges, but there are limited approaches for grappling with them. Participatory scenario planning can be a useful tool to explore and evaluate different approaches in natural disaster management. We developed value-based scenario planning as a general framework and process and applied it to the context of bushfire management in Victoria, Australia. From our application, three scenarios resulted: developing self-reliant people and communities; a safe society: separating people and fuel; and living with nature and bushfire. We found that values could guide the development of relatable scenarios and that value-based scenarios supported the understanding of complex relationships between abstract and concrete values and natural disaster management and planning. We found that scenarios led people to think outside of their area of comfort and fostered reflection, discussion, and consideration for how to bridge value differences. Future applications of value-based scenarios could support communication between decision-making agencies and the public in the face of uncertainty, complexity, and value conflict.http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol23/iss4/art2/bushfireparticipationparticipatory scenario planningvalue-based scenariosvaluesvalue tensions
spellingShingle Andrea Rawluk
Rebecca M. Ford
Kathryn J. H. Williams
Value-based scenario planning: exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management
Ecology and Society
bushfire
participation
participatory scenario planning
value-based scenarios
values
value tensions
title Value-based scenario planning: exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management
title_full Value-based scenario planning: exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management
title_fullStr Value-based scenario planning: exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management
title_full_unstemmed Value-based scenario planning: exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management
title_short Value-based scenario planning: exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management
title_sort value based scenario planning exploring multifaceted values in natural disaster planning and management
topic bushfire
participation
participatory scenario planning
value-based scenarios
values
value tensions
url http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol23/iss4/art2/
work_keys_str_mv AT andrearawluk valuebasedscenarioplanningexploringmultifacetedvaluesinnaturaldisasterplanningandmanagement
AT rebeccamford valuebasedscenarioplanningexploringmultifacetedvaluesinnaturaldisasterplanningandmanagement
AT kathrynjhwilliams valuebasedscenarioplanningexploringmultifacetedvaluesinnaturaldisasterplanningandmanagement